Spain vs Croatia Prediction, Odds & SGP Picks (Sep 29)
Calendar icon Updated 29 Sep 09:55

Spain vs Croatia Prediction, Odds & SGP Picks (Sep 29)

Juan Pablo Aravena Juan Pablo Aravena
Moneyline PickSpain (-435)
Player PropLamine Yamal 1+ goal (-104)
Same Game ParlayBoth teams not to score + Under 3.5 goals + Under 7.5 corners (+500)
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Spain vs Croatia Main Match Info

Spain vs Croatia Moneyline Prediction

Spain had to come from behind to beat England in their 2026-27 UEFA Nations League opener, which was also their first match since becoming FIFA World Cup champions this summer. That hard-fought win extended their impressive run of results, as they’ve now won eight games in a row, including the World Cup final against Argentina in extra time.

As for Croatia, they also opened their Nations League campaign with a victory, as goals from Luka Modric and Marco Pasalic lifted them to a solid 2-1 away win over the Czech Republic. This was their first fixture since the 2026 FIFA World Cup ended. The Vatreni’s results have been solid overall, though they’ve lacked consistency at times. Over their last 10 outings, they’ve posted a W6, L4 record.

Croatia have proven they can be competitive, but they often fall short against elite teams, as they did against England and Portugal at the World Cup. While their tactical approach should complicate things for Spain, La Roja have enough talent to break their defensive resistance. In what should be a tight game, we expect the reigning World Cup champions to come out on top and keep their winning streak alive.

Spain vs Croatia Player Prop

Lamine Yamal found the back of the net in the 3-2 win over England, putting the doubts from his one-goal World Cup campaign behind him. The star winger is enjoying an excellent start to the season at Barcelona with eight goals and six assists across all competitions, and he should cause all sorts of problems for the Croatian defence.

Spain vs Croatia Same Game Parlay

We’re backing both teams not to score, supported by Spain’s impressive defensive record with Unai Simón between the posts. He conceded just one goal in eight World Cup matches, and given Croatia’s lower attacking output compared with England, another home clean sheet for La Roja could be on the cards.

The under 3.5 goals market offers value, as Spain have often struggled to translate their superiority into goals, especially against teams that defend with a low block. They’ve scored three or fewer goals in nine of their last 10 games, with the lone exception being their 4-0 win over Saudi Arabia at the World Cup.

The under on 7.5 corners, meanwhile, offers value from a tactical perspective, as neither Spain nor Croatia use wingers who consistently exploit the byline, nor do they cross the ball often. La Roja won just three corners against England, and the Vatreni earned six against the Czechs.

Spain vs Croatia Team News

Spain Team News 

Spain aren’t dealing with any significant injuries after their 3-2 victory over England, aside from Eric García, who suffered an injury during warm-ups. However, manager Luis de la Fuente is widely expected to introduce at least a few changes compared with the side that defeated the Three Lions.

The biggest changes are expected to come in midfield and attack. Fermín López, who’s enjoying an excellent start to the 2026-27 season with FC Barcelona, is likely to start in midfield over Pedri and Dani Olmo. Mikel Oyarzabal, who scored the game-winning goal against England, should also start.

Croatia Team News

Croatia haven’t dealt with any new injury problems following their recent victory over the Czech Republic. That means they will have their best XI available for this matchup, led by Modric’s experience in the middle of the park.

Unfortunately for the Vatreni, defenders Josip Juranovic and Martin Erlic had to withdraw from the squad before the international break due to fitness concerns. Those are the only issues for a Croatian side that should have all their other key players available, including striker Ante Budimir, winger Ivan Perisic, and defender Josko Gvardiol.

Spain vs Croatia: Where to Watch (Canada) 

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