Nashville SC vs Toronto Prediction, Odds & SGP Picks (Sep 26)
Calendar icon Updated 24 Sep 12:25

Nashville SC vs Toronto Prediction, Odds & SGP Picks (Sep 26)

Giorgi Natsvlishvili
Moneyline PickNashville to Win (-228)
Player PropSam Surridge to Score (-129)
Same Game ParlayNashville to Win + Sam Surridge to Score + Over 2.5 Goals (+130)
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Nashville SC vs Toronto Main Match Info

Nashville SC vs Toronto Moneyline Prediction

Nashville have been exceptional at Geodis Park. After beating Chicago 3-0, they now have 12 victories in 13 home matches. Toronto’s away profile is almost the opposite, with only a 17% win rate and an average of 0.83 goals scored per game.

Motivation is also strong even though Nashville have already clinched a playoff berth. They are fighting at the top of the overall standings and therefore still have seeding and Supporters’ Shield incentives. With that in mind, we expect the hosts to claim a comfortable victory.

Nashville SC vs Toronto Player Prop

Sam Surridge has scored 16 MLS goals in 20 appearances and 1,531 minutes. He has generated 10.4 xG and recorded 27 shots on target.

The matchup strengthens the pick because Toronto are giving opponents far too many scoring opportunities. They have conceded 49 goals in 26 MLS matches, including six in their last two games.

Surridge’s current form is particularly encouraging. He scored both Nashville’s goals in their 2-2 draw at Inter Miami on September 13. With the Boys in Gold sitting first in the East, Surridge operating as their No. 9, and Toronto already on 49 goals conceded, the home side’s highest-quality chances should repeatedly fall to him.

Nashville SC vs Toronto Same Game Parlay

Nashville to Win: Nashville are extraordinary at home, with 12 victories in 13 fixtures. Toronto, meanwhile, have struggled on the road, and they sit 24th in the MLS away standings. The hosts are expected to win comfortably.

Sam Surridge to Score: Surridge has scored three goals in his last two appearances. Given his recent results and 16 MLS goals, we expect the English forward to find the back of the net again.

Over 2.5 Goals: Toronto’s last eight matches have featured three or more goals. Nashville, meanwhile, are expected to be aggressive at home, where they’ve scored 39 goals in 13 games, making another high-scoring affair likely.

Nashville SC vs Toronto Team News

Nashville SC Team News 

Last weekend, Nashville became the first MLS team to clinch a 2026 playoff spot, and they did it emphatically by beating Chicago 3-0. That result took them to 17 wins and 57 points, both new club records.

Sam Surridge has scored 16 MLS goals, while Hany Mukhtar has netted 11 goals from 8.8 xG. Cristian Espinoza provides the service, having registered 11 MLS assists. He also recorded a goal and an assist in the 3-0 victory over Chicago. Against Chicago, Surridge, Espinoza, and Mukhtar all scored in the same game for the first time this season.

Warren Madrigal is the only absentee ahead of the match.

Toronto Team News

The 3-1 St. Louis defeat was particularly concerning because the attack collapsed. Toronto managed only nine shots, one shot on target, and 0.58 xG, while holding just 38% possession. That is a major warning before another away fixture. Across the season, the Reds average only about 0.88 xG on the road.

Josh Sargent and Dániel Sallói lead the attack. Both have scored seven MLS goals, with Sargent generating a team-high 6.5 xG and Sallói 5.5 xG. Đorđe Mihailović remains one of Toronto’s most creative players when available, with two goals and four assists to his name.

Walker Zimmerman is suspended after reaching the yellow-card threshold against St. Louis. Đorđe Mihailović and Nelson Palacio are injured.

Nashville SC vs Toronto: Where to Watch (Canada) 

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