| Moneyline Pick | Spain (-108) |
| Player Prop | Lamine Yamal to score anytime (odds +195) |
| Same Game Parlay | Spain to win + Both teams to score + Under 4.5 total goals (+425) |
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Portugal vs Spain Main Match Info
- Date and Time: Monday, July 6, 2026, 3 PM EDT
- Venue: Dallas Stadium
- Location: Arlington, Texas, United States
- Last H2H match: Portugal 2(5)-(3)2 Spain (June 8, 2025, UEFA Nations League)
Portugal vs Spain Moneyline Prediction
- Moneyline Pick: Spain
- Odds: -103 (Tonybet)
Spain have been trending in the right direction since their scoreless draw against Cape Verde in the opener, a game in which they posted a 2.10 xG, 27 shots and 74% possession. Since then, they’ve recorded three straight wins with a clean sheet and moved into the Round of 16 after a dominant performance in a 3-0 victory over Austria. Spain are one of two teams who haven’t conceded goals in the World Cup.
However, La Roja will face their toughest test to date when matching up against one of their fierce rivals, Portugal, with a quarterfinal berth on the line. Roberto Martinez’s men haven’t looked overly convincing in the World Cup, but they ground out a 2-1 win against Croatia in the Round of 32 thanks to second-half strikes from Cristiano Ronaldo and Gonçalo Ramos. It was Ronaldo’s first-ever goal in a knockout round in the World Cup.
This will be the toughest test for Spain so far in the tournament, but they have proven to be too good on both sides of the ball to believe they won’t keep progressing further.
Their clean sheet streak might end here against Portugal’s potent attack, but Spain should rely on their individual talent against a defensive line that has looked suspect at best. It will be tight, but back Spain to get the victory here.
Portugal vs Spain Player Prop
- Prop Bet: Lamine Yamal to score anytime
- Odds: +195 (Tonybet)
Yamal hasn’t scored since breaking the deadlock in the 4-0 win over Saudi Arabia in the group stage, but it hasn’t been for a lack of trying. The Barcelona winger came close to scoring against Austria and has racked up 14 shots (six on target) and five chances created in the tournament. Get behind Yamal to score here, as his individual talent could be the key Spain will need against an experienced Portuguese defence.
Portugal vs Spain Same Game Parlay
- SGP: Spain to win + Both teams to score + Under 4.5 total goals
- Odds: +425 (Tonybet)
We’re backing Spain to get the win here, as they’ve been better than Portugal throughout the tournament, but it won’t be easy for La Roja. It wouldn’t be surprising if they see their run of clean sheets come to an end since they’ll be facing a Portugal side averaging 2.0 goals per fixture – even if five of those goals came against Uzbekistan.
Even if both teams find the back of the net, an outcome that has happened in two of their previous three head-to-head meetings, we’re not expecting a match with tons of goals. That’s because both teams have elite defensive lines. Portugal have allowed just two goals in four matches in the World Cup, while Spain have yet to concede one with Unai Simón between the posts.
Furthermore, 11 of the previous 12 head-to-head meetings between these two rivals in the current millennium have had four goals or fewer. With the stakes being pretty high here, we expect that trend to continue. Space will be at a premium here, since both teams have outstanding defensive quality.
Portugal vs Spain Team News
Portugal Team News
Portugal don’t have any injury concerns ahead of this match. Even though Cristiano Ronaldo, Vitinha and Bruno Fernandes were subbed off in the 2-1 win over Croatia in the Round of 16, neither is unavailable. Don’t expect Martinez to make too many changes to the core XI that have been playing in most of the tournament’s games.
Spain Team News
Spain will be a bit shorthanded in the attack since Nico Williams (groin) and Yeremy Pino (collarbone) aren’t expected to be available. Victor Muñoz is back in the XI after muscular issues. The Spanish side won’t make too many changes to the starting lineup they’ve fielded in their last two matches. The main doubt lies in who will start at right-back, with Pedro Porro and Marcos Llorente competing for a spot.
Portugal vs Spain: Where to Watch (Canada)
- Watch on TSN1, TSN3, TSN4, TSN5, RDS
- Stream on TSN+, RDS App
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