| Moneyline Pick | Portugal (-124) |
| Player Prop | Cristiano Ronaldo to score anytime (+110) |
| Same Game Parlay | Both teams to score + Over 2.5 total goals + Under 8.5 corners (+320) |
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Portugal vs Croatia Main Match Info
- Date and Time: Thursday, July 2, 2026, 7 PM EDT
- Venue: Toronto Stadium
- Location: Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Last H2H match: Croatia 1-1 Portugal (November 18, 2024, UEFA Nations League)
Portugal vs Croatia Moneyline Prediction
- Moneyline Pick: Portugal
- Odds: -124 (Tonybet)
Portugal finished second in Group K, but their performances were far from convincing. They recorded draws with Colombia (0-0) and DR Congo (1-1) before cruising to a routine 5-0 victory over Uzbekistan.
The team struggled to create quality chances against compact defensive blocks, suggesting they could have trouble penetrating Croatia’s defensive line. They generated an xG below 1.00 in both draws and are far from being the offensive juggernaut they should be on paper.
Tudo pronto para receber os 𝙣𝙤𝙨𝙨𝙤𝙨 𝙟𝙤𝙜𝙖𝙙𝙤𝙧𝙚𝙨 🙏#VaiDarPortugal | #FIFAWorldCup pic.twitter.com/3CekTMoIUE
— Portugal (@selecaoportugal) June 27, 2026
Croatia have hardly been dominant either. They conceded four goals in the opener against England, worked hard to defeat Panama, and barely survived in a 2-1 victory over Ghana. The Vatreni have been struggling defensively, allowing a combined 4.40 xGA across their three group-stage matches and being outperformed on xG in two of them.
Given that Portugal’s attack has been slumping and Croatia have looked poor defensively, this game might be decided by individual talent.
With Cristiano Ronaldo, Bruno Fernandes, Nuno Mendes, and Vitinha among their stars, the Seleção das Quinas have a clear edge in that department compared to an aging Croatia side. It won’t be easy, but in what could very well be a back-and-forth contest, Portugal should come out on top and book their place in the Round of 16.
Portugal vs Croatia Player Prop
- Prop Bet: Cristiano Ronaldo to score anytime
- Odds: +110 (Tonybet)
Ronaldo scored a brace against Uzbekistan, but he failed to find the back of the net against either DR Congo or Colombia. While Croatia won’t make things easy on him, the star forward has posted good results against them in the past with three goals in five head-to-head meetings.
He’s a prime candidate to score in a game where Portugal will need him at his best.
Portugal vs Croatia Same Game Parlay
- SGP: Both teams to score + Over 2.5 total goals + Under 8.5 corners
- Odds: +320 (Tonybet)
Portugal didn’t look impressive defensively throughout the group stage, and had it not been for VAR disallowing the goals scored against them by Uzbekistan and Colombia, they would have conceded at least once in each game.
Croatia scored in every match but also conceded against England and Ghana, so they’re likely to have a fair share of issues dealing with Portugal’s attacking power, prompting us to lean on BTTS.
𝗣𝗢𝗥-𝗧𝗨-𝗚𝗔𝗟. 😮💨✨#VaiDarPortugal | #FIFAWorldCup pic.twitter.com/2ZByd9OY9n
— Portugal (@selecaoportugal) June 27, 2026
If both sides are expected to find the back of the net, backing over 2.5 goals makes sense. Recent head-to-head data supports that outlook. Portugal and Croatia have faced each other five times this decade, with both teams scoring in every meeting and four of them producing at least three goals.
Furthermore, three of the Seleção das Quinas’ last five and eight of the Vatreni’s last 10 have also finished with at least three goals.
We’re also seeing a clear trend in the corners market. Portugal earned 10 corners during their group-stage run, while Croatia managed just seven in total – and never more than three in a single game. Based on that data, we’re leaning toward a low corner count. The under 8.5 line aligns well with recent trends.
Portugal vs Croatia Team News
Portugal Team News
The Seleção das Quinas are monitoring the fitness of centre-back Tomás Araújo, though the Benfica defender is unlikely to start even if fit, as Renato Veiga has emerged as a starter.
João Neves, who came off the bench in the game against Colombia, should return to the starting lineup after coming off the bench the last time to partner with Vitinha and Bruno Fernandes in midfield.
Croatia Team News
Croatia have a few question marks on the defensive end, most notably surrounding Duje Caleta-Car, although the Real Sociedad defender isn’t expected to start. Joško Gvardiol is likely to return to the starting XI after being rested in the last match. Ante Budimir should lead the line ahead of Petar Musa. Key playmaker Luka Modrić should also start in what could be his final World Cup game.
Portugal vs Croatia: Where to Watch (Canada)
- Watch on TSN1, TSN3, TSN4, RDS, CTV
- Stream on TSN+, RDS App, CTV App, Crave
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