| Moneyline Pick | Draw (+245) |
| Player Prop | Alexander Isak to score anytime (+200) |
| Same Game Parlay | Both teams to score + Over 2.5 total goals + Over 8.5 total corners (+240) |
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Japan vs Sweden Main Match Info
- Date and Time: Thursday, June 25, 2026, 7 PM EDT
- Venue: Texas Stadium
- Location: Arlington, Texas, United States
- Last H2H match: Japan 1-1 Sweden (May 25, 2002, International Friendly)
Japan vs Sweden Moneyline Prediction
- Moneyline Pick: Draw
- Odds: +245 (Tonybet)
Japan have been one of the most pleasant surprises at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, securing a 2-2 draw against the Netherlands with a last-gasp goal in the second half and thrashing Tunisia 4-0 in their last game. With four points from two matches, they control their own destiny and need only a draw against Sweden to secure a spot in the Round of 32.
Blågult, meanwhile, have experienced the highs and lows of the World Cup. They opened with a 5-1 win over Tunisia, only to lose by the same score to the Netherlands in their next game. The Scandinavian side need to win here to avoid depending on other results to progress to the knockout stage. They can rely on their attack, but their defence has been suspect at best.
With both teams favouring a back three and sharing similar strengths and weaknesses, there may not be much separating them. Sweden are expected to take an attacking approach right from the get-go, but Japan can be a killer on the counter with the pace of their forwards. Both sides have the tools to neutralise each other, making a draw a strong possibility. That result would send the Samurai Blue through while keeping Sweden’s hopes of qualifying as one of the eight best third-place teams alive.
Allt att spela för i gruppavslutningen mot Japan 👊#FIFAWorldCup pic.twitter.com/WyRHfCEevL
— Svensk Fotboll (@svenskfotboll) June 23, 2026
Japan vs Sweden Player Prop
- Prop Bet: Alexander Isak to score anytime
- Odds: +200 (Tonybet)
Alexander Isak will carry the weight of Sweden’s attack on his shoulders. He forms an excellent partnership alongside Viktor Gyokeres, but with Gyokeres likely to crash against the opposing centre-backs, Isak should play in a sort of free role, looking for spaces upfront. That role allowed him to score against Tunisia, and with 18 goals in 60 caps for Blågult, he’s a reliable scoring threat for this must-win game.
Japan vs Sweden Same Game Parlay
- SGP: Both teams to score + Over 2.5 total goals + Over 8.5 total corners
- Odds: +240 (Tonybet)
The one trend that has consistently followed Sweden is both teams finding the back of the net. Not only has that happened in their first two 2026 FIFA World Cup matches, but it’s also been the case in each of their last eight fixtures overall dating back to the World Cup qualifiers in November 2025. The bet has also landed in Japan’s last encounter with a European opponent.
Going with the over on the 2.5-goal market makes sense as well. Both sides have seen that total go over in each of their fixtures in the current World Cup campaign, and their attacking mindset only strengthens the case. Japan have scored at least two goals in five of their last nine matches, while Sweden have found the back of the net at least twice in four of their last six. Each of those games also produced over 2.5 total goals.
We’re backing the over in the corners market because both teams will need to attack constantly to avoid relying on other results to qualify for the knockout stage. Sweden generated five corners against the Netherlands and four against Tunisia, while Japan won four and five against them, respectively.
Japan vs Sweden Team News
Japan Team News
Japan aren’t likely to tweak their starting lineup too much following an impressive 4-0 win over Tunisia. However, the Samurai Blue will be without a key player in Takefusa Kubo. The Real Sociedad winger left the game against the Netherlands with a knee injury and isn’t expected to recover in time for this clash. They had already lost Wataru Endo, Kaoru Mitoma, and Takumi Minamino due to pre-WC injuries.
🇯🇵📈The 2026 World Cup is already Japan’s joint-highest scoring campaign in history with 6 goals, and they’ve only played two matches.
Samurai Blue’s previous record was also 6 goals, set in 2018 when they reached the Round of 16. pic.twitter.com/QHhzSfjuiw
— Japanese Football (@JapaneseFbl) June 22, 2026
Sweden Team News
Sweden are expected to make a few changes following the devastating 5-1 loss to the Netherlands. Daniel Svensson and Anthony Elanga could come into the starting XI, especially given that the latter scored the lone goal in that defeat. Expect Alexander Isak, Viktor Gyokeres, and Yasin Ayari all to remain in the starting lineup, while Victor Lindelöf is set to lead the defensive line.
Förberedelserna inför 🇯🇵 är igång!#FIFAWorldCup pic.twitter.com/OSCYk8NfTs
— Svensk Fotboll (@svenskfotboll) June 22, 2026
Japan vs Sweden: Where to Watch (Canada)
- Watch on TSN2, RDS 2
- Stream on TSN+, RDS App
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