Tunisia vs Japan Prediction, Odds & SGP Picks (June 21)
Calendar icon Published 18 Jun 11:35

Tunisia vs Japan Prediction, Odds & SGP Picks (June 21)

Juan Pablo Aravena Juan Pablo Aravena
Moneyline PickJapan (-182)
Player PropAyase Ueda to score anytime (+160)
Same Game ParlayBoth teams not to score + Under 9.5 corners + Japan over 1.5 goals (+425)
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Tunisia vs Japan Main Match Info

Tunisia vs Japan Moneyline Prediction

Tunisia endured arguably the worst start of any team to the 2026 FIFA World Cup, including a Curaçao side that conceded seven goals to Germany, as they lost 5-1 to Sweden before parting ways with manager Sabri Lamouchi.

Hervé Renard will lead the squad on an interim basis in the next two matches, but with internal disputes and a clear lack of experience on both sides of the ball, the Lions of Carthage’s chances to turn things around are slim.

The challenge becomes even tougher for Tunisia against a disciplined and resilient Japan side that escaped with a 2-2 draw against the Netherlands. The Samurai Blue came from behind twice in that game, and their intensity and width could cause a lot of trouble to a Tunisian team that struggled defensively against Sweden.

Japan are clearly the better squad on paper, reflected in the -182 odds, and they have the quality to justify that price by securing all three points.

Tunisia may respond with a more spirited performance under new leadership, but after three losses in a row and just three wins in their last 10 outings (W3, D3, L4), it’s hard to see them getting past a Japanese team that’s riding an eight-game undefeated streak (W6, D2).

Tunisia vs Japan Player Prop

Ueda didn’t find the back of the net in Japan’s opener against the Netherlands, but the Feyenoord striker was a constant threat with his runs behind the defenders.

He should be more successful here, as Tunisia’s back line is a significant step down in quality from the Dutch defence led by Premier League stars Virgil van Dijk and Micky van de Ven.

Ueda’s club form also supports this selection. He scored 25 goals in 31 appearances for Feyenoord during the 2025-26 Eredivisie campaign.

Tunisia vs Japan Same Game Parlay

Although each of Tunisia’s last five competitive matches has seen both teams find the back of the net, that streak looks likely to end here.

The African side simply don’t have the quality to pose much of a threat against Japan. As a result, the Samurai Blue should be able to cruise to victory while keeping a clean sheet.

Tunisia have scored just three goals across six games in 2026.

Expect this clash to have limited involvement on the wings, with both teams prioritising attacks through the middle, where playmakers such as Daichi Kamada and Hannibal Mejbri can thrive.

Japan generated four corners against the Netherlands, and Tunisia only had two against Sweden. Both matches produced under 9.5 corners, so this line certainly has value.

The Samurai Blue’s dominance should be evident here, and they’re likely to exploit the defensive frailties of a Tunisia side that have conceded 11 goals in their last three encounters.

Given that Japan have scored at least two goals in five of their last eight games, their attacking line should feast against an underwhelming Tunisia defence.

Tunisia vs Japan Team News

Tunisia Team News 

Tunisia are expected to make a few tactical changes to the starting lineup following the disastrous 5-1 loss to Sweden. With a new manager in place and the team looking underwhelming in the first game of the tournament, several chances could be on the cards for the African squad.

Japan Team News

Japan could make a few changes to the starting lineup as well, following the draw against the Netherlands, with the biggest one being the inclusion of Yukinari Sugawara at right wing-back. Takefusa Kubo is doubtful due to a knee issue, while Wataru Endo, Kaoru Mitoma, and Takumi Minamino are all unavailable through injury.

Tunisia vs Japan: Where to Watch (Canada) 

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