Paris Saint-Germain vs Chelsea Prediction, Odds & SGP Picks (March 11)
Calendar icon Updated 10 Mar 15:57

Paris Saint-Germain vs Chelsea Prediction, Odds & SGP Picks (March 11)

Juan Pablo Aravena Juan Pablo Aravena
Moneyline PickParis Saint-Germain (-106)
Player PropBradley Barcola to score anytime (+179)
Same Game ParlayBoth teams to score + Over 3.5 total goals + PSG to generate more corners (+280)
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Paris Saint-Germain vs Chelsea Main Match Info

Paris Saint-Germain vs Chelsea Moneyline Prediction

Paris Saint-Germain might be coming off a loss to AS Monaco in their most recent fixture, but Luis Enrique’s men have been playing very well of late, tallying six wins over their previous 10 matches across all competitions (D2, L2). 

They eased past AS Monaco in the playoff round, winning 5-4 on aggregate. The goal is to turn things around at home, where they’ve won just two of their last five games (W2, D2, L1).

Chelsea didn’t have to play in the UCL playoff round, and their most recent game came in the FA Cup this past weekend, where they needed extra time to beat Championship side Wrexham 4-2 after twice falling behind. 

Liam Rosenior has had some ups and downs with the Blues lately, winning just three of his last eight overall, excluding extra-time (W3, D3, L2).

Those levels of inconsistency aren’t favorable ahead of this matchup, because even with the recent struggles, PSG are a team that can destroy even the best defences in the world. 

That should precisely be the case here, as Les Parisiens should find a way to build a lead and secure the victory over the course of the 90 minutes.

PSG will also be motivated by revenge after Chelsea humiliated them 3-0 in the Club World Cup final last July — a result that still stings in Paris.

Paris Saint-Germain vs Chelsea Player Prop

Ousmane Dembele would be the easiest choice here, but we’re backing Barcola to find the back of the net since the winger is going through his most productive stretch of the campaign. 

Barcola is yet to score in the Champions League this season despite 10 appearances, but his domestic form — three goals in four games — suggests his confidence is at its highest. 

Against a Chelsea defence that has conceded in each of their last four matches, this could be the night he breaks his European drought.

Paris Saint-Germain vs Chelsea Same Game Parlay

Our three-leg parlay backs both teams to find the back of the net, an outcome that looks entirely plausible given the attacking talent at both clubs’ disposal. However, the numbers back that outcome up as well. 

Eight of PSG’s 10 matches in the current UCL campaign have seen both clubs score, and the same outcome has happened in all but two of Chelsea’s previous 14 away fixtures in all competitions. 

Given Chelsea’s defensive woes, they might struggle to contain PSG’s potent attack, which could make this game a high-scoring matchup. 

All of PSG’s last four matches in all competitions have seen at least three goals, and the same has happened in Chelsea’s previous five.

Last but not least, we believe PSG will generate more corners. Given that they’re likely to dominate possession and be the more attacking team of the two, don’t be surprised if they also have an edge in set-piece and dead-ball situations.

PSG generated exactly eight corners in the two matches against Monaco in the previous round and have had more corners than their rivals in five of their last six fixtures.

Paris Saint-Germain vs Chelsea Team News

Paris Saint-Germain Team News 

The Ligue 1 giants will enjoy the return of Joao Neves in midfield, as the Portuguese star trained normally and will be an option on Wednesday. The same can’t be said about Fabián Ruiz, who’s out with a knee problem, as well as Quentin Ndjantou (hamstring).

Chelsea Team News

Chelsea will be without Willian Estevao for this contest due to a hamstring injury, while Jamie Gittens (hamstring) and Levi Colwill (knee) are sidelined as well. Wesley Fofana (undisclosed) is expected to be a game-time call and could move right into the starting lineup if deemed healthy.

Paris Saint-Germain vs Chelsea: Where to Watch (Canada) 

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