Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction: Moneyline, Props & SGP (March 10)
Calendar icon Published 10 Mar 15:50

Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction: Moneyline, Props & SGP (March 10)

Juan Pablo Aravena Juan Pablo Aravena
Moneyline PickMontreal Canadiens 
Player PropNick Suzuki over 0.5 power-play points 
Same Game ParlayCanadiens -1.5 + Over 5.5 goals + Cole Caufield over 0.5 goals
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Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs Main Match Info

Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs Moneyline Prediction

The Canadiens were coming off back-to-back away losses against the San Jose Sharks (L 7-5) and the Anaheim Ducks (OTL 6-5), but they ended the three-game road trip on a high note with a 4-3 win over the Los Angeles Kings on Saturday. 

Overall, the Canadiens have been playing well of late and have lost just once in regulation over their last 10 contests (W6, L1, OT3).

The same can’t be said about the Maple Leafs, though. Toronto suffered a 5-2 loss to the Tampa Bay Lightning on Saturday, extending their losing skid to a season-worst seven games (L5, OT2). 

To make things even worse, the five losses the Maple Leafs have suffered in regulation over that stretch have come by two or more goals, so the issues are clear on both ends of the ice for the Maple Leafs. 

The biggest issue for the Maple Leafs lies on the defensive end, though. During the ongoing seven-game losing streak, the Maple Leafs are averaging 4.57 goals conceded per fixture. They’ve also failed to score more than two goals six times.

Rivalry games like this one are often hard to predict, but at the end of the day, the Canadiens are the better team and are also in better form, while the Maple Leafs are going through their worst stretch of the campaign. 

With that in mind, the Canadiens should be able to secure the victory in front of their home crowd while pushing Toronto’s losing skid to eight games.

Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop

The Maple Leafs rank 4th in the NHL in penalty killing this season (82.8 percent), but it’s hard to trust them amid their ongoing seven-game losing streak. 

Plus, the Canadiens’ best trait is their offence — they rank seventh in power-play effectiveness (25.1 percent) and second in goals scored per game (3.55 per contest).

With Nick Suzuki playing at a high level and recording nine points (three goals, six assists) over the last five games, the star center could make an impact if/when the Habs have the man advantage. 

Suzuki ranks 10th in the NHL in points with 74 and is third in the league in power-play points with 34, trailing only Connor McDavid (43) and Leon Draisaitl (40) from the Oilers.

Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs Same Game Parlay

Our three-leg parlay not only backs the Canadiens to win this game, but also to cover the puck line at -1.5, meaning Montreal should win by two or more goals. 

The Canadiens will rely on their elite offence to get the job done, while facing a Toronto team that not only has dropped seven games in a row but also ranks third-worst in the league in goals allowed per game (3.48).

The Canadiens’ elite offence and the Maple Leafs’ subpar defence should translate into a high-scoring contest. 

If including overtime into the mix, each of the Canadiens’ nine games has seen at least six goals, while the same outcome has happened in eight of the previous nine the Maple Leafs have played. 

Two of the previous three head-to-head meetings this season have also had over 5.5 total goals.

Last but not least, Cole Caufield is another player to keep close tabs on Montreal’s elite offence. 

The right winger leads Montreal in goals by a wide margin — he has found the back of the net 37 times and the second-ranked player in that regard, Juraj Slafkovský, has 23 goals. 

Caufield has scored five goals in his last five outings, so he should be able to exploit Toronto’s defensive woes.

Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs Team News

Montreal Canadiens Team News

The Canadiens will be close to full health. The lone absentee is Patrik Laine, as the right winger is yet to fully return to action due to an abdominal injury. Laine is on the IR and is expected to be available at some point in mid-March, but this game simply comes too soon for him.

Toronto Maple Leafs Team News

Similar to the Canadiens, the Maple Leafs are also close to posting a clean bill of health. Their lone absentee for this game is Chris Tanev, and the veteran blueliner has been ruled out for the rest of the 2025-26 season with an abdominal injury.

Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Where to Watch (Canada) 

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