| Moneyline Pick | Man City to Win (-157) |
| Player Prop | Erling Haaland to Score (-136) |
| Same Game Parlay | Man City to Win + Erling Haaland to Score + Over 2.5 Goals (+175) |
| Check Live Odds | |
Leeds vs Manchester City Main Match Info
- Date and Time: Saturday, February 28, 2026, 12:30 PM EST
- Venue: Elland Road
- Location: Leeds, England
- Last H2H match: Manchester City 3-2 Leeds (2025/26 PL Season, November 2025)
Leeds vs Manchester City Moneyline Prediction
- Moneyline Pick: Man City to Win
- Odds: -157 (Tonybet)
Sitting second with 56 points, Pep Guardiola’s men are in a tight title race. Leeds, meanwhile, hover near the relegation zone. The head-to-head record heavily favours the Cityzens, who have won the last five consecutive meetings.
Tactically, Man City’s possession game and their ability to create from open play are decisive factors. They lead the league in open-play xG (34.66). Against a Leeds team that can be pinned deep for long spells, Manchester’s rotations between the half-spaces can turn territorial dominance into high-quality chances
Given the visitors’ motivation and Leeds’ poor H2H record, we expect a routine victory for Guardiola’s side.
Leeds vs Manchester City Player Prop
- Prop Bet: Erling Haaland to Score
- Odds: -136 (Tonybet
Erling Haaland’s role remains unmatched. He’s recorded 22 goals, with 20.6 xG, 96 shots, 48 shots on target, and 160 touches in the opposition box.
Leeds have conceded 44 big chances in the league this season and allowed 40.40 xGA. City’s game also features entries from the flanks and crosses in the penalty area, where Haaland is lethal.
Over his last five Premier League appearances, Haaland has registered 11 shots, five on target, two goals, and 2.07 xG. He also remains the team’s primary penalty taker, which increases his scoring chances in a match where the visitors are expected to spend most time in the opposition’s half.
Leeds vs Manchester City Same Game Parlay
- SGP: Man City to Win + Erling Haaland to Score + Over 2.5 Goals
- Odds: +175 (Tonybet)
Man City to Win: Man City have now won five consecutive encounters and sit five points behind Arsenal with a match in hand. They’re unlikely to miss a chance to reduce the gap.
Erling Haaland to Score: Haaland leads the Premier League with 22 goals. He’s also scored three times in the previous three outings. With City poised to control the game, the Norwegian is the primary candidate to find the net.
Over 2.5 Goals: Each of the last six H2H meetings has produced three or more goals. Leeds’ recent two home fixtures have also hit that mark, while Manchester City are the most prolific team in the Premier League alongside Arsenal (56 goals).
Leeds vs Manchester City Team News
Leeds Team News
Leeds have been in decent form lately. In the last round, they conceded a late equaliser in a 1-1 draw. Against Chelsea (2-2), they came back from a 2-0 deficit despite allowing 3.65 xG. Over the course of the season, when their defensive transitions have been stretched, they’ve often given up high-quality chances.
However, in victories such as their 3-1 win over Nottingham, the Whites started strongly and effectively converted their chances.
💬 𝗗𝗙 𝗼𝗻 𝗻𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘁 𝗴𝗮𝗺𝗲𝘀: “You can feel the passion when the floodlights are on. The atmosphere feels a bit more special. Players are hungry and if everyone is on it, they are more motivated.” pic.twitter.com/JStqS0QvdA
— Leeds United (@LUFC) February 26, 2026
Anton Stach’s return boosts Leeds’ midfield. The German international has scored four goals and delivered three assists. Dominic Calvert-Lewin is the club’s top scorer, who has found the net 10 times in the Premier League this season.
The only confirmed absentee is Noah Okafor. Otherwise, there are no major concerns within the squad.
Manchester City Team News
The major story last week was Nico O’Reilly’s brace against Newcastle (2-1). The English midfielder has taken his opportunities well. Despite a narrow score, City were completely in control, producing 1.36 xG and limiting the Magpies to 0.30 xG in the second half.
Alongside Erling Haaland (22 goals, seven assists), Antoine Semenyo has become an integral part of City’s attacking structure. Against Newcastle, he recorded three shots and generated 0.32 xG. Savinho has returned following his long absence, and Pep Guardiola can now rely on another fast winger in the attack.
Jérémy Doku, Joško Gvardiol, and Mateo Kovačić are all sidelined, while youngster Max Alleyne is questionable.
Leeds vs Manchester City: Where to Watch (Canada)
- fuboTV
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