Brentford vs Arsenal Prediction, Odds & SGP Picks (Feb 12)
Calendar icon Updated 10 Feb 17:45

Brentford vs Arsenal Prediction, Odds & SGP Picks (Feb 12)

Giorgi Natsvlishvili
Moneyline PickArsenal to Win (-143)
Player PropViktor Gyökeres to Score (+154)
Same Game ParlayArsenal to Win + Viktor Gyökeres to Score + BTTS (+425)
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Brentford vs Arsenal Main Match Info

Brentford vs Arsenal Moneyline Prediction

Arsenal’s away record has been solid, with seven victories and two losses, 18 goals scored and only 9 conceded. Brentford, meanwhile, have won two consecutive matches, but their defence remains vulnerable, conceding 1.00 goals per match.

The visitors have also shown an ability to slow the tempo once they take the lead. That helps them protect their advantages and limit opponents’ opportunities. 

Brentford have been competitive at home this season, recording seven victories and three draws. However, Arsenal have won six of the last nine head-to-heads and already beat them 2-0 this season. With Arsenal still pushing for the title, both motivation and form support an away victory.

Brentford vs Arsenal Player Prop

Viktor Gyökeres is Arsenal’s top scorer with eight goals and 8.0 xG. He’s also recorded 100 touches in the opposition box and 15 shots on target (12 inside the box, three outside).

While Brentford tend to be resilient at the home stadium, they’ve allowed 16.20 xGA in 12 matches and conceded 12 goals.

Gyökeres has hit scoring form recently (three goals in the last two PL matches) and remains a high-volume finisher at about 2.2 shots per 90 minutes. Given his form, expect the Swedish striker to find the net. 

Brentford vs Arsenal Same Game Parlay

Arsenal to Win: Arsenal are riding an eight-match unbeaten streak on the road. While Brentford look prolific in attack, defensive lapses remain an issue. With the visitors fighting for the elusive title, we expect them to prevail.

Viktor Gyökeres to Score: Gyökeres is gradually hitting top form. He bagged a brace against Sunderland and leads Arsenal with eight goals. As Brentford concede a lot, the Swedish forward should score at least once.

BTTS: Arsenal’s defence isn’t as reliable as it was at the beginning of the campaign. Brentford have found the net in six of their last eight home games. That points towards goals at both ends.

Brentford vs Arsenal Team News

Brentford Team News 

Brentford’s identity under Keith Andrews is clear. A league-high 36.9% of passes go forward, they’re ruthless in transition, having registered four counter-attack goals, and they create high-quality chances, averaging 0.17 xG per shot, the best mark in the competition. They also lean into aerial dominance, leading the league with 40 headed shots.

Defensively, they’re generally limiting opponents to fewer, lower-quality shots, allowing 12.2 per match. However, they still concede from set-piece headers and penalties in high-tempo games.

Igor Thiago remains central to Brentford’s success. The Brazilian is second in the league behind Erling Haaland with 17 goals, while Michael Kayode leads all Premier League defenders with 15 key passes.

Fabio Carvalho, Josh Dasilva, and Antoni Milambo are sidelined. Kevin Schade is suspended for three matches after receiving a red card against Aston Villa.

Arsenal Team News

After reaching the EFL Cup final, Arsenal produced a dominant performance, thrashing Sunderland 3-0. The team limited their opponents to 0.19 xG and allowed only five shots.

The biggest positive for the visitors is Viktor Gyökeres’ good form. The Swedish international has netted four goals in the last four encounters across all competitions. With Kai Havertz and Gabriel Jesus also available, Arsenal have depth in attack.

Mikel Merino’s long-term absence remains a concern. His injury tightens their midfield rotation during a congested run of fixtures. Martin Odegaard is close to returning, but Mikel Arteta won’t likely take risks.

Alongside Merino and Odegaard, Bukayo Saka and youngster Max Dowman are also sidelined.

Brentford vs Arsenal: Where to Watch (Canada) 

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