| Moneyline Pick | Chelsea to Win (-139) |
| Player Prop | Igor Thiago to Score (+179) |
| Same Game Parlay | Chelsea to Win + Igor Thiago to Score + Over 2.5 Goals (+500) |
| Check Live Odds | |
Chelsea vs Brentford Main Match Info
- Date and Time: Saturday, January 17, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
- Venue: Stamford Bridge
- Location: London, England
- Last H2H match: Brentford 2-2 Chelsea (2025/26 PL Season, September 2025)
Chelsea vs Brentford Moneyline Prediction
- Moneyline Pick: Chelsea to Win
- Odds: -139 (Tonybet)
Despite their loss against Arsenal, Chelsea showed resilience and looked solid in attack, producing five shots on target. Brentford are in good form too, riding a six-game unbeaten run, but playing on the road will be a tough challenge.
Although recent head-to-heads have been tight, the Blues historically have the upper hand in this matchup. At Stamford Bridge, Chelsea’s home form gives them an edge, while the Bees’ away numbers are less convincing.
Brentford’s recent success has been driven by standout performances from their forwards, but their defence can be vulnerable. Expect Chelsea to capitalise on that and claim victory in this encounter.
Chelsea vs Brentford Player Prop
- Prop Bet: Igor Thiago to Score
- Odds: +179 (Tonybet)
Brentford’s top finisher, Igor Thiago, has scored 16 league goals and boasts strong chance volume (50 shots, 30 on target) and a non-penalty xG of around 0.51 per 90 minutes.
Chelsea can be exposed on dead balls and second phases, and Thiago’s profile (power + box presence) directly attacks that weakness. He’s coming off a hot streak, having bagged a hat-trick against Everton and a brace against Sunderland recently, while still averaging 2.6 shots per 90.
Even if Chelsea control the ball, Brentford’s counters, crosses, and set pieces should give the 24-year-old plenty of chances.
Chelsea vs Brentford Same Game Parlay
- SGP: Chelsea to Win + Igor Thiago to Score + Over 2.5 Goals
- Odds: +500 (Tonybet)
Chelsea to Win: With Liam Rosenior in charge, Chelsea look more confident. While Brentford have posted decent results recently, the Blues are the favourites at Stamford Bridge.
Igor Thiago to Score: With 16 goals this season, Igor Thiago is in superb form. The Brazilian converts his chances efficiently, so he should be able to score at least once.
Over 2.5 Goals: Both clubs are attack-oriented, and three of their last four H2H meetings have produced three goals or more. It should be a high-scoring affair with action on both ends.
Chelsea vs Brentford Team News
Chelsea Team News
In their 3-2 EFL Cup loss to Arsenal, Chelsea were heavily out-created (0.65 xG vs 2.67) and paid for goalkeeper mistakes. Over the season, their results have been solid (34 goals from 36.5 xG), but they concede too many chances (29.7 xGA) and have struggled to manage leads at home.
Positive news for Chelsea is the return of Moises Caicedo after his suspension. He’s a crucial player for ball-winning and stopping counters. Alejandro Garnacho netted a brace as a substitute, and under Liam Rosenior, he’ll likely receive more minutes.
Cole Palmer and Reece James were rested against Arsenal, and we expect them to return. As for absentees, Malo Gusto, Levi Colwill, and Romeo Lavia have all been sidelined.
Brentford Team News
Brentford’s strengths this season lie in efficient finishing and resilient scoring. They sit in the top half for goals scored but concede regularly (xGA 1.48), indicating vulnerability to quick transitions and set plays.
Igor Thiago continues to lead the line in outstanding form, having set a record for the most goals by a Brazilian in a Premier League season (16). Kevin Schade and Keane Lewis-Potter also offer pace and direct threat, helping Brentford generate almost 1.30 xG.
The Bees will face Chelsea with several injuries. Josh Dasilva, Fábio Carvalho, and Antoni Milambo are sidelined long-term, while Frank Onyeka is on international duty. Dango Ouattara should be back from AFCON 2025.
Chelsea vs Brentford: Where to Watch (Canada)
- DAZN
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