Moneyline PickDraw (+245)
Player PropRomelu Lukaku to score anytime (+165)
Same Game ParlayBoth teams to score + Over 2.5 goals + Under 8.5 total corners (+333)
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USA vs Belgium Main Match Info

USA vs Belgium Moneyline Prediction

United States have been one of the biggest surprises in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, and while seeing them reach the Round of 16 was a realistic expectation for them, it remains to be seen whether they’ll have enough firepower to get past Belgium.

They delivered a convincing 2-0 victory over Bosnia and Herzegovina in the Round of 32, and the metrics support them, with at least two goals scored in every game so far.

Belgium haven’t been at their best, winning just one of four matches in regulation and needing a miraculous comeback against Senegal to advance past the Round of 32. The Red Devils were down 2-0 in the 86th minute, but two late goals and a penalty in the 124th minute of extra time lifted Rudi Garcia’s men to a victory that could’ve easily gone the other way.

United States might be the better team when it comes to the eye test, but Belgium are more talented. Belgium also have the edge in momentum after the match versus Senegal, while the USMNT will have to find a way to replace Folarin Balogun. It looks like an even match on paper, so anticipate a draw over the course of the 90 minutes, with a decision coming in extra time.

USA vs Belgium Player Prop

Lukaku has been one of the most reliable forwards for Belgium in the current World Cup. Despite playing just 177 minutes across four matches, he has two goals, one assist and forced an own goal.

All of Lukaku’s goals have come late in the second half, so even if he doesn’t start, he should be able to find the back of the net here, as he should have a favourable matchup against the American centre-backs.

USA vs Belgium Same Game Parlay

Based on what both teams have shown throughout the tournament, this is shaping up to be a game in which both sides are likely to score. United States have kept clean sheets against Australia and Bosnia, but they’ve had problems against teams with more offensive talent. Belgium have seen both teams finding the back of the net in three of their four World Cup matches thus far.

The Red Devils have been involved in high-scoring games as well, with two of those three contests seeing over 3.5 total goals over the course of 90 minutes. The same has happened with the USMNT, and in fact, seven of their 10 overall games have had both sides scoring as well. If this game develops as expected, it’s easy to see both teams finding the back of the net.

Last but not least, we’re also backing the under on the 8.5-corner market. Only two of the USMNT matches have had over 6.5 corners, so the lack of consistency has been an issue. Belgium have generated four or fewer corners in three of their four World Cup matches thus far, so the under makes perfect sense.

USA vs Belgium Team News

USA Team News 

The USMNT will have a huge absence upfront since Balogun was sent off in the Round of 32 win over Bosnia and Herzegovina. This means the AS Monaco star won’t be available for this pivotal match. Ricardo Pepi is set to take his place in the XI. Don’t expect Mauricio Pochettino to make any other notable changes to a starting lineup that has done wonders so far in the current World Cup campaign.

Belgium Team News

Belgium are uncertain whether Zeno Debast will be available, as the Sporting CP defender has yet to play due to an injury, meaning Brandon Mechele and Nathan Ngoy will compete to take his place in the lineup. The other main doubt is the starter upfront, but if recent trends continue, look for Charles De Ketelaere to start, with Lukaku as the X-Factor coming off the bench.

USA vs Belgium: Where to Watch (Canada) 

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