| Moneyline Pick | Real Madrid to win (-371) |
| Player Prop | Kylian Mbappé to score (-218) |
| Same Game Parlay | Real Madrid to win + Kylian Mbappé to score + over 3.5 goals (+190) |
| Check Live Odds | |
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Main Match Info
- Date and Kickoff Time: Sunday, February 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
- Stadium: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
- Location: Madrid, Spain
- Last H2H match: Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Real Madrid (La Liga 2025-2026 season, November 2025)
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Moneyline Prediction
- Moneyline Pick: Real Madrid to win
- Odds: -371 (Tonybet)
Real Madrid sit second in La Liga, and trail Barcelona by one point. Although the last encounter between Madrid and Rayo ended in a goalless draw, Rayo Vallecano have never defeated Los Blancos at the Bernabéu.
Los Blancos are deemed heavy favourites in this tie, both in form (five consecutive wins in La Liga) and through the direct head-to-head record.
The chaotic 2-4 defeat against Benfica in the Champions League is expected to serve as a wake-up call to Madrid. Under Arbeloa, Madrid have opted for a more attacking approach, scoring 14 goals in their last five matches.
Rayo Vallecano have won only one match in their last five and are now in 16th place, only one point away from the relegation zone.
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Player Prop
- Prop Bet: Kylian Mbappé to score
- Odds: -218 (Tonybet)
Mbappé has registered a brace in the last three consecutive games, allowing Madrid to stay in games where they had been outclassed. In the match against Benfica, Mbappé scored against the run of play. He has regularly bailed the team out of difficult situations, for example, when he scored four goals against Olympiacos (4-0).
For Rayo Vallecano, a team which hasn’t kept a clean sheet in their last seven games, stopping Mbappé is nearly impossible.
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Same Game Parlay
- SGP: Real Madrid to win + Kylian Mbappé to score + over 3.5 goals
- Odds: +190 (Tonybet)
Real Madrid have scored 45 goals in La Liga this season, making them the second-highest attacking side after Barcelona. Half of those have been scored by Kylian Mbappé, who is the reason for Madrid’s five-game unbeaten streak in La Liga.
Rayo Vallecano, similarly to Madrid, have focused on counter-attacks instead of solid defence. Given they haven’t kept a clean sheet in seven matches, Rayo will look to accelerate the team’s tempo, just like Benfica did earlier this week by inviting Madrid to attack.
Except for two games, encounters between the two sides have never ended in dull draws. The last match at the Bernabéu ended in a 2-1 victory for Madrid, while the two teams shared points in a six-goal thriller back in 2024 (3-3).
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Team News
Real Madrid Team News
Real Madrid looked set to avoid the playoffs until they lost to Benfica (2-4), as a lack of structure led the game into chaos. Los Blancos dominated possession but ex-Madrid coach José Mourinho set up a deep block, to which coach Arbeloa didn’t have the answer.
Mbappé scored a brace, which proved to be insufficient to salvage the game as his teammates grew frustrated, leading to Asencio and Rodrygo’s red cards. The forward accounts for over half of the team’s total goals (21).
🏁 FT: @slbenfica_en 4-2 @RealMadridEN
⚽ 30′ @KMbappe
⚽ 36′ Schjelderup
⚽ 45’+5′ Pavlidis (p)
⚽ 54′ Schjelderup
⚽ 58′ @KMbappe
⚽ 90’+8′ Trubin pic.twitter.com/Gog95iHWqD— Real Madrid C.F. 🇬🇧🇺🇸 (@realmadriden) January 28, 2026
Los Blancos defeated Villarreal (2-0), facing a passive block, which allowed players time and space. Arbeloa’s side have scored 14 goals in their last five matches, but lack the midfield balance to take control of the game.
Antonio Rüdiger, Éder Militao, Ferland Mendy, and Trent Alexander-Arnold will be sidelined due to injuries.
Rayo Vallecano Team News
Rayo Vallecano have won only one match in their last five, most recently losing 1-3 to Osasuna. The team had already lost 0-3 against Celta Vigo just a week prior.
Rayo focus on intensity to create chances, but lack the strikers to convert them. Despite ranking 9th in the xG table, their underperformance in front of the net has dropped them to 16th position in La Liga.
Coach Iñigo Pérez usually fields Jorge de Frutos as his centre-forward, depriving the team of a dominant striker in the penalty box. The injuries of Iván Balliu and Andrei Rațiu have deprived Rayo of their most athletic players, reducing intensity on the right flank.
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano: Where to Watch (Canada)
- TSN+
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