Moneyline PickMontreal Canadiens (-150)
Player PropCole Caufield Over 0.5 Goals
Total GoalsUnder 6.5 Goals (-141)
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Pittsburgh Penguins vs Montreal Canadiens Main Game Info

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Montreal Canadiens Moneyline Prediction

The Canadiens are trending in the right direction. They secured a dominant win over the Dallas Stars on Thursday, extending their winning streak to four games. Montreal has covered the -1.5 puck line in three of those wins. The Habs enter this matchup with a 7-2-1 record over their last 10 games.

The Penguins’ brief two-game winning run ended on Thursday with a 4-3 overtime loss to the Utah Mammoth. Their recent form has been underwhelming. Pittsburgh has lost seven of its last 10 games (3-5-2) and has allowed at least four goals six times during that stretch.

The goaltending matchup also heavily favours the Canadiens, as Jacob Fowler has been one of the best goaltenders in the league, while the Penguins have been trending in the wrong direction defensively.

Pittsburgh has also struggled on the road, losing six consecutive games and recording just one win this season (1-5-1). It’s difficult to see the Penguins getting past a Canadiens team that has won three of its last four at home (3-0-1). Recent form, home-and-away splits, and the goaltending matchup all point to a Montreal win.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Montreal Canadiens Projected Starting Goalies

The Canadiens have a sizable goaltending edge, with Fowler expected to return to the crease after being rested for Thursday’s win over Dallas. The Penguins are likely to counter with Arturs Silovs, but the matchup would tilt even further in Montreal’s favour if Pittsburgh opted to start its backup, Sergei Murashov (0-3-1, 3.50 GAA, .883 save percentage).

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Montreal Canadiens Player Prop

Cole Caufield has taken on a bigger offensive role for the Canadiens in the absence of Nick Suzuki (upper body) and Ivan Demidov (lower body). The star winger scored twice in Thursday’s win over the Stars and has five goals in his last six appearances.

He should take advantage of a favourable matchup, as the Penguins are allowing 4.66 goals per game during their road skid. Caufield also has a prominent role in Montreal’s offence, playing on the top line at both even strength and on the power play while averaging 18:45 of ice time per game.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Montreal Canadiens Total Goals Prediction

The Canadiens rank 14th in the NHL in goals scored per game (3.15) but are a top-10 defensive unit, allowing just 2.92 goals per game (ninth). The Penguins also sit in the middle of the pack offensively (13th, 3.23) but rank below average defensively (3.31 per game, 23rd).

Montreal’s 5-2 win over Dallas on Thursday ended a run of five consecutive games that finished with fewer than 6.5 goals in regulation. Meanwhile, the Penguins’ last three games have also featured six goals or fewer. Both teams rank in the top 12 in fewest scoring chances allowed, with Montreal fifth (239) and Pittsburgh 12th (270). With Fowler back in net, the Canadiens have the goalie to keep this tight. These defensive numbers suggest a relatively controlled game, strengthening the case for the under.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Montreal Canadiens Team News and Injury Report

Pittsburgh Penguins Team News and Injury Report

The Penguins are depleted offensively, with Bryan Rust and Justin Brazeau both sidelined by lower-body injuries. Both are expected to be top-six forwards when healthy. With Rust out, Thomas Novak has been filling his spot on the top line.

The team is also without defenceman Trevor van Riemsdyk (lower body), with Spencer Stastney taking his place in the lineup.

The Penguins will make a quick trip to Montreal before returning home for a brief two-game homestand starting next Tuesday. Pittsburgh last played the Mammoth on Thursday, so the team will have just one day of rest.

Montreal Canadiens Team News and Injury Report

The Canadiens remain without two of their best offensive players, Suzuki and Demidov, both on injured reserve. Their absences are significant, as the pair combined for 163 regular-season points in 2025-26. This has created opportunities for players such as Alex Newhook and Josh Anderson to take on more prominent roles in the top six.

Montreal will begin a three-game homestand with this matchup. Like Pittsburgh, the Canadiens last played on Thursday and will have one day of rest between games.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Montreal Canadiens Projected Lines and Power Play Units

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Montreal Canadiens: Where to Watch (Canada)

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