| Moneyline Pick | France to Win (-527) |
| Player Prop | Kylian Mbappé to Score (-179) |
| Same Game Parlay | France to Win + Kylian Mbappé to Score + Over 2.5 Goals (+125) |
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Paraguay vs France Main Match Info
- Date and Time: Saturday, July 4, 2026, 5:00 PM EDT
- Venue: Philadelphia Stadium
- Location: Philadelphia, United States
- Last H2H match: France 5-0 Paraguay (International Friendly, June 2017)
Paraguay vs France Moneyline Prediction
- Moneyline Pick: France to Win
- Odds: -527 (Tonybet)
France have once again solidified their status as one of the leading contenders to win the 2026 World Cup after thrashing Sweden 3-0. They produced 3.25 xG and 25 shots while controlling 61% possession.
Paraguay’s win over Germany was courageous, but the underlying performance was far less convincing. Germany posted 75% possession, 21 shots, and 1.50 xG to La Albirroja’s 0.43. France are faster and more clinical than Germany in transition, with Kylian Mbappé, Bradley Barcola, and Michael Olise all capable of exploiting the space behind Paraguay’s deep defensive line.
La Albirroja also played 120 minutes plus penalties, making fatigue a serious factor against one of the tournament’s most dangerous attacking sides. Expect Les Bleus to dominate and come out on top.
Paraguay vs France Player Prop
- Prop Bet: Kylian Mbappé to Score
- Odds: -179 (Tonybet)
Kylian Mbappé has scored six goals at this World Cup, recorded 13 shots on goal, and won three Player of the Match awards. He continues to prove why he is among the world’s elite finishers.
Paraguay defend deep and concede long spells of possession. France average 18.5 shots and 1.9 xG per game. Mbappé’s pace, inside-left runs, and penalty-box movement are perfect against a tired low block.
The Real Madrid forward is also the team’s primary penalty taker. With Les Bleus expected to control territory, the game script points to repeated France attacks and Mbappé getting multiple high-quality chances.
Paraguay vs France Same Game Parlay
- SGP: France to Win + Kylian Mbappé to Score + Over 2.5 Goals
- Odds: +125 (Tonybet)
France to Win: France have a relatively easy path to the semifinals. They have covered the handicap in every match, and given their form, Paraguay have slim chances of producing an upset.
Kylian Mbappé to Score: Mbappé has found the net six times in four games, bringing his tally to 18 goals in 18 World Cup appearances. Against Paraguay, who defend deep, he should enjoy plenty of scoring opportunities.
Over 2.5 Goals: Every France match at this World Cup has produced at least three goals. With Les Bleus committed to an attacking approach, another high-scoring contest looks likely.
Paraguay vs France Team News
Paraguay Team News
Paraguay’s penalty win over Germany (1-1 after extra time, 4-3 on penalties) sparked celebrations across the country and even prompted the declaration of a public holiday.
Gustavo Alfaro’s side have built their success on a disciplined defensive structure. They limited Germany to just one goal despite facing 21 shots and controlling only 25% possession. However, replicating that performance against a more dynamic French attack will be an even greater challenge.
Miguel Almirón, Gustavo Gómez, and goalkeeper Orlando Gill remain Paraguay’s key players. Almirón provided the assist against Germany, Gómez leads the defensive block, and Gill’s shot-stopping is vital, particularly with La Albirroja spending long stretches under pressure.
Paraguay have no confirmed injury concerns, but the physical toll of playing 120 minutes against Germany could be a factor.
France Team News
Didier Deschamps made a left-side reshuffle against Sweden, bringing Lucas Digne and Bradley Barcola into the starting XI. The change paid off, as Les Bleus produced 3.19 xG while allowing only 0.67 xG. The front line of Mbappé, Dembélé, Olise, and Barcola was nearly unstoppable as their explosive counterattacks shattered Sweden’s defence.
Ousmane Dembélé scored a first-half hat-trick in the 4-1 win over Norway, increasing his tally to four goals. Kylian Mbappé has six tournament goals after his brace against Sweden. Michael Olise is another key weapon with five assists, and Bradley Barcola’s start against Sweden gave France more speed on the left.
Marcus Thuram has been managing a minor injury, but he is expected to be back in the squad.
Paraguay vs France: Where to Watch (Canada)
- DAZN
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