| Moneyline Pick | Porto to Win (+240) |
| Player Prop | William Gomes to Score (+440) |
| Same Game Parlay | Porto to Win + William Gomes to Score + Over 1.5 Goals (+1200) |
| Check Live Odds | |
Nottingham Forest vs Porto Main Match Info
- Date and Time: Thursday, April 16, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
- Venue: The City Ground
- Location: Nottingham, England
- Last H2H match: Porto 1-1 Nottingham Forest (2025/26 Europa League, April 2026)
Nottingham Forest vs Porto Moneyline Prediction
- Moneyline Pick: Porto to Win
- Odds: +240 (Tonybet)
In the first leg, Porto were far more dangerous offensively. They produced 2.17 xG from 16 shots while Forest managed only 0.45 xG from six attempts, with Stefan Ortega forced into seven saves to keep the tie level.
The broader numbers also favour Porto. They come into the match top of the Primeira Liga with 76 points from 29 games. The Tricky Trees are 16th in the Premier League with 32 points, struggling for survival.
The hosts lack consistency and are likely to prioritise the Premier League to avoid relegation. As a result, we expect Porto to claim a narrow victory.
Nottingham Forest vs Porto Player Prop
- Prop Bet: William Gomes to Score
- Odds: +440 (Tonybet)
William Gomes already scored in the first leg. He is Porto’s top scorer in this Europa League campaign with four goals. In Liga Portugal this season, Gomes has scored eight goals in 998 minutes, averaging 3.5 shots, including 1.4 on target, per 90 minutes.
Last week, Gomes was central to the Dragons’ attack. Besides scoring, he registered 0.82 xG, five shots, 10 touches in the opposition box, and 10 dribbles.
With the tie level at 1-1, Porto can’t afford to sit back. They need to attack, which should give Gomes several chances to score.
Nottingham Forest vs Porto Same Game Parlay
- SGP: Porto to Win + William Gomes to Score + Over 1.5 Goals
- Odds: +1200 (Tonybet)
Porto to Win: Despite the draw in the first leg, Porto held a clear advantage. With Nottingham struggling for consistency and focused on survival in the Premier League, we expect the visitors to claim a victory.
William Gomes to Score: In Samu’s absence, William Gomes is the Dragons’ primary forward. Given his shot volume and recent form, the Brazilian should find the net.
Over 1.5 Goals: Nine of Porto’s last 10 matches have produced two or more goals. Given Nottingham’s defensive issues, the game should comfortably clear that line.
Nottingham Forest vs Porto Team News
Nottingham Forest Team News
The main story around Forest over the past week has been balance. Vitor Pereira has made it clear that he is trying to protect Premier League survival while also chasing a Europa League semi-final.
Against Aston Villa, they once again showed resilience rather than control. They generated 1.15 xG from 15 shots but also allowed 1.02 xG.
Focus switches back to the @EuropaLeague. 👊 pic.twitter.com/beGHFWUWsg
— Nottingham Forest (@NFFC) April 14, 2026
Igor Jesus remains the Tricky Trees’ most dangerous European finisher, leading the tournament with seven goals. Murillo is still central to the defence. Stefan Ortega was arguably Forest’s most important player in the first leg, making seven saves.
Jair Cunha, John Victor, Nicolò Savona, and Willy Boly are sidelined. The biggest boost for Nottingham is the return of Chris Wood.
Porto Team News
Following the draw against Nottingham, Porto delivered a superb performance domestically, beating Estoril 1-3. It was mostly a one-sided game, in which Francesco Farioli’s men produced 2.69 xG and 20 shots, while limiting their opponents to 0.39 xG.
With William Gomes in great form, Pepê continues to stretch defences with his dribbling and movement between lines. Rodrigo Mora has registered three goals and an assist in the Europa League. In midfield, Alan Varela and Nico González have been crucial in sustaining pressure.
Porto arrive with a handful of injuries. Samu Aghehowa, Luuk de Jong, Martim Fernandes, and Nehuén Pérez are all ruled out for this match.
Nottingham Forest vs Porto: Where to Watch (Canada)
- DAZN
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