| Moneyline Pick | New York City FC (-162) |
| Player Prop | Nicolas Fernandez to score anytime (+143) |
| Same Game Parlay | New York City FC to win + both teams to score + Under 4.5 total goals (+400) |
| Check Live Odds | |
New York City FC vs Toronto FC Main Match Info
- Date and Time: Friday, July 31, 2026, 7:30 PM EDT
- Venue: Yankee Stadium
- Location: New York City, New York, United States
- Last H2H match: New York City FC 3-1 Toronto FC (July 3, 2025, 2025 MLS regular season)
New York City FC vs Toronto FC Moneyline Prediction
- Moneyline Pick: New York City FC
- Odds: -162 (Tonybet)
New York City FC are climbing up the Eastern Conference standings after recording back-to-back wins, including a solid 3-1 victory over the Chicago Fire in their latest outing. Despite dealing with numerous injuries, NYCFC have won three of their last five league matches and now sit fifth in the standings. They also rank among the East’s top five teams in both goals scored (T-4th, 30) and conceded (fourth, 23).
Toronto FC, meanwhile, continue to struggle. They have collected just two points from their last 15 available (D2, L3) and are riding a 12-game winless skid across all competitions (D6, L6). The Reds’ road form has been particularly poor, with just one win in eight away outings (W1, D2, L5) while scoring only six goals — the second-fewest away goals in the Eastern Conference this season.
More IMAX viewing of the Boys in Blue against Toronto this Friday 🎥 pic.twitter.com/qRh0GvEjrf
— New York City FC (@newyorkcityfc) July 28, 2026
Toronto are in dire need of a bounce-back performance, but it’s hard to see them getting something out of this clash with New York, who have found their rhythm. Expect the hosts to control the game right from the start and extend their home winning streak with another convincing performance.
New York City FC vs Toronto FC Player Prop
- Prop Bet: Nicolas Fernandez to score anytime
- Odds: +143 (Tonybet)
One of the biggest reasons behind NYCFC’s recent success has been Nicolas Fernandez’s play up front. The striker found the back of the net against Chicago and has now scored in three straight matches, bringing his total to 12.
The forward has been a consistent threat in attack, putting 27 shots on target across 17 appearances. He’s a strong candidate to score against a struggling Toronto defence.
New York City FC vs Toronto FC Same Game Parlay
- SGP: New York City FC to win + both teams to score + Under 4.5 total goals
- Odds: +400 (Tonybet)
New York City FC have a clear edge on paper, and all signs point to them dominating this match. Even though the team are averaging 1.5 goals conceded and 2.44 goals scored per home fixture, they should be able to control a Toronto side that has been slumping badly on the road.
The under 4.5 goals market also offers value. More than 3.5 goals have been scored in just two of Toronto’s eight away games and in a combined 11 of both clubs’ 34 league fixtures this season. That makes the under 4.5 selection an appealing option.
Both teams to score also looks likely. BTTS has landed in six of NYCFC’s last eight home encounters, three of Toronto’s last three on the road, and each of their last two head-to-head meetings at this venue.
New York City FC vs Toronto FC Team News
New York City FC Team News
New York City FC remain one of the league’s hardest-hit teams on the injury front, with up to eight players unavailable.
Their most significant absentees are Maxi Moralez (knee), Alonso Martinez (knee), and Keaton Parks (groin), all of whom would likely be regular starters if fit.
Must watch with sound on 🔉 pic.twitter.com/B7vX75z9fs
— New York City FC (@newyorkcityfc) July 28, 2026
The injury list also includes defenders Raul Gustavo (leg) and Kevin O’Toole (leg), midfielders Aiden O’Neill (ankle) and Kai Trewin (ankle), and young prospect Drew Baiera (knee).
Toronto FC Team News
While Toronto FC aren’t as depleted as New York, they’re also not at full strength.
The biggest concerns come in defence, as they’ll be without left-back Matheus Pereira (groin) and centre-back Nickseon Gomis (thigh). Nelson Palacio (lower-body injury) and Markus Cimermancic (thigh) are out as well, along with Antone Bossenberry (undisclosed).
absolute class from the fresh face 👏 pic.twitter.com/nsnvyHwmKX
— Toronto FC (@TorontoFC) July 28, 2026
At least Toronto will have their dynamic attacking duo of Josh Sargent and Djordje Mihailovic leading the line, giving the visitors a realistic chance of finding the net against a depleted NYCFC backline.
New York City FC vs Toronto FC: Where to Watch (Canada)
- No TV broadcast available
- Stream on MLS Season Pass
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Juan Pablo Aravena