| Moneyline Pick | New York City to Win (+120) |
| Player Prop | Lionel Messi to Score (-113) |
| Same Game Parlay | New York City to Win + Lionel Messi to Score + BTTS (+475) |
| Check Live Odds | |
New York City vs Inter Miami Main Match Info
- Date and Time: Sunday, March 22, 2026, 10:00 AM ET
- Venue: Yankee Stadium
- Location: New York, United States
- Last H2H match: Inter Miami 5-1 New York City (MLS 2025, November 2025)
New York City vs Inter Miami Moneyline Prediction
- Moneyline Pick: New York City to Win
- Odds: +120 (Tonybet)
New York are unbeaten through four MLS matches with 10 points, including two wins from two home encounters. Inter Miami, meanwhile, have recorded three consecutive draws and continue to rely heavily on Lionel Messi in attack.
NYCFC went to Philadelphia and won 1-2 despite the game producing almost even chance quality. They then crushed Orlando 5-0 and followed that with a 3-1 home win over Colorado. Miami have generated just 2.2 xG across their last three outings combined. Given the home-field advantage, New York enter as slight favourites.
New York City vs Inter Miami Player Prop
- Prop Bet: Lionel Messi to Score
- Odds: -113 (Tonybet)
While New York are favourites, Lionel Messi remains the standout scoring option due to his central role. He is Inter Miami’s primary finisher, set-piece taker, and the focal point of their entire attacking system.
The Argentine has three goals in his first three MLS appearances of 2026. On March 18 against Nashville, he scored his 900th senior career goal.
If the Herons spend less time in possession and more time breaking into direct final-third moments, every touch Messi gets near the box becomes dangerous. As such, we expect the 38-year-old to get on the scoresheet.
New York City vs Inter Miami Same Game Parlay
- SGP: New York City to Win + Lionel Messi to Score + BTTS
- Odds: +475 (Tonybet)
New York City to Win: New York are on a three-match winning streak, while Inter Miami are winless in their last three. With the hosts in strong form, a home victory looks likely.
Lionel Messi to Score: Messi has found the net against Nashville and leads the club with three MLS goals. Given his central role in the attack, he remains a strong candidate to score, even in defeat.
BTTS: Six of the last seven H2H meetings have seen both teams score. Inter Miami’s defence concedes regularly, having allowed six goals already. However, their attack is prolific, pointing toward an open contest.
New York City vs Inter Miami Team News
New York City Team News
Tactically, New York City’s biggest strength in recent matches has been the balance between midfield control and wide attacking play. Pascal Jansen’s 4-3-3 system has allowed the wide players to attack the box more aggressively than last season.
Nicolás Fernández Mercau is the headline name right now after scoring four goals in four games, including a brace in the 3-1 win over Colorado. Hannes Wolf remains one of the most reliable threats after opening the scoring in the win at Philadelphia. Matt Freese continues to provide stability in goal, posting a 76.9% save percentage early in the 2026 season.
Alonso Martínez, Andrés Perea, and Malachi Jones are out with injuries for this fixture.
Inter Miami Team News
The main storyline from last week is the CONCACAF Champions Cup exit, and it could have a major impact on the team psychologically. Miami drew 1-1 with Nashville on March 18, were eliminated on away goals, and had to expend emotional energy in a match they absolutely needed to win. They looked lacklustre, producing a mere 10 shots and 0.87 xG.
While the reliance on Messi remains clear, Telasco Segovia leads the club in assists with three. Mateo Silvetti has recorded two assists, while veteran striker Luis Suarez has primarily been used off the bench.
Sergio Reguilón left the game against Nashville with an apparent left hamstring issue. Maximiliano Falcón is also dealing with a knee injury.
New York City vs Inter Miami: Where to Watch (Canada)
- Apple TV
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