Croatia vs Brazil Prediction, Odds & SGP Picks (Mar 31)
Calendar icon Published 30 Mar 16:34

Croatia vs Brazil Prediction, Odds & SGP Picks (Mar 31)

Giorgi Natsvlishvili
Moneyline PickBrazil to Win (-124)
Player PropVinicius Junior to Score (+165)
Same Game ParlayBrazil to Win + Vinicius Junior to Score + Over 2.5 Goals
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Croatia vs Brazil Main Match Info

Croatia vs Brazil Moneyline Prediction

Brazil still appear to have the stronger attack. Even in their 1-2 loss to France, they played proactively and pushed forward. Failing to beat a 10-man side is a concern, but Croatia’s defensive limitations, highlighted by the 2.07 xGA they allowed against Colombia, suggest they could be a more exploitable opponent.

The Canarinho are coming off a defeat, and Carlo Ancelotti said afterwards that the performance still convinced him Brazil can compete with the best teams in the world. This is their final game before the World Cup, and after the loss to France, there is a clear incentive to restore confidence. 

Croatia vs Brazil Player Prop

Vinicius has recorded 17 goals and 13 assists in 43 appearances for Real Madrid this season. On a per-90 basis in league play, he averages 3.30 shots and 0.45 goals, with 35 of his 80 shots on target for a 43.75% accuracy rate.

With Raphinha ruled out and Neymar absent from the squad, Brazil’s attack will lean even more heavily on Vinicius as their primary difference-maker.

The expected game script also favours this prop. The Canarinho should dominate possession, with much of the play occurring in Croatia’s half, giving the winger opportunities to get into scoring positions.

Croatia vs Brazil Same Game Parlay

Brazil to Win: Brazil need to bounce back after their latest defeat. Croatia might have beaten Colombia 2-1, but they conceded 14 shots and barely avoided a draw. As a result, Carlo Ancelotti’s men should be well positioned to secure the victory. 

Vinicius Junior to Score: Vinicius has scored 17 goals for Real Madrid this season and has netted four goals in his last three appearances. The winger is the main candidate to find the net against Croatia.

Over 2.5 Goals: Neither team have been particularly reliable defensively. Brazil have conceded six goals across their last four encounters, largely due to issues in central defence, while Croatia allowed 2.07 xGA against Colombia. This points toward a potentially high-scoring affair. 

Croatia vs Brazil Team News

Croatia Team News 

The main storyline from last week was the comeback win over Colombia, because the performance said more than the scoreline. Croatia were outplayed territorially for long stretches: Colombia posted 58% possession and led in shots, final-third entries, and corners. The Vatreni, though, proved more clinical and structurally tougher inside both boxes. 

Igor Matanović and Luka Vušković both made decisive contributions against Colombia. Vušković equalised in the sixth minute, and Matanović scored the winner in the 42nd. Josip Stanišić came on at halftime, while Luka Modrić and Andrej Kramarić were introduced late to manage the closing phase. 

The biggest absences remain Joško Gvardiol and Mateo Kovačić. As confirmed by manager Zlatko Dalic, both are still recovering from surgery.

Brazil Team News

Brazil were beaten by France 1-2, even though the opponents played with 10 men for much of the second half. Still, the Canarinho failed to control the ball, with Les Bleus recording 54% possession. Brazil posted 2.00 xG and 17 shots, but their finishing was inefficient.

Alongside Vinicius, Casemiro remains a key figure, as the team continue to rely on him to stabilise the middle and attack second balls. 

Bremer scored in the 78th minute against France and performed well defensively, while Marquinhos was rested and could return for the match against Croatia.

Raphinha and Wesley are out after suffering muscle injuries, and neither will be replaced. Alisson had already been ruled out, while Neymar was omitted from the squad because of muscle fatigue.

Croatia vs Brazil: Where to Watch (Canada) 

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