Odds via Tonybet | |
Bolivia vs Brazil | Tuesday, September 9, 2025, 8:30 PM EDT |
Bolivia odds | +240 |
Brazil odds | +100 |
Draw | +260 |
Both teams to score | Yes -176, No +125 |
Bolivia vs Brazil Preview and Team News
Bolivia Team News
Bolivia remain in contention for a spot in the 2026 FIFA World Cup intercontinental playoffs. However, their fate isn’t entirely in their own hands, and they couldn’t have asked for a tougher opponent for the final round. La Verde must secure a positive result against Brazil to keep their hopes alive, but even then, it’ll all depend on how Venezuela fare against Colombia.
Luckily for Bolivia, they’ll play this game at home in El Alto, a venue located well over 4,000 meters above sea level. That geological condition gives the hosts a huge advantage over most teams in the region, and they’ll look to exploit it against Brazil. However, playing at home hasn’t translated to success for them when it comes to facing La Seleçao. They’ve won just one of their last five home head-to-heads (D2, L2).
However, it’s worth noting that Bolivia haven’t played any of those five matches in El Alto, and the advantage of playing nearly 1,000 meters higher above sea level could change things for Óscar Villegas’ men. La Verde are undefeated in the five games they’ve played in El Alto during the current qualifying run (W3, D2) while keeping four clean sheets, so they should be filled with confidence ahead of this contest.
Bolivia predicted lineup vs Brazil (4-3-3): Lampe; Medina, Haquín, Morales, Sagredo; Robson, Villamil, Vaca; Paniagua, Terceros, Fernández.
Brazil Team News
Brazil didn’t have to work too hard to get past Chile in their home finale of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Qualifiers, cruising to a comfortable 3-0 win. From the opening whistle, La Seleção stamped their authority on the match. The numbers don’t tell the whole story, but they paint a clear picture of their supremacy: a 3.94 to 0.07 edge in the xG battle and a 64-36 advantage in possession show Brazil dominated with ease.
The win over Chile also means that manager Carlo Ancelotti remains undefeated since taking over the managerial role in June this year (W2, D1). More importantly, his side have yet to concede under his helm – a sign of significant improvement on the defensive end.
After all, Brazil rank sixth among the six qualified teams in goals conceded, with 16 across 17 fixtures. That number could rise on a tough trip to El Alto. However, La Seleção can draw confidence from a psychological edge, as they’ve taken points in four of their five previous encounters with Bolivia on enemy soil.
Brazil predicted lineup vs Bolivia (4-4-2): Alisson; Wesley, Marquinhos, Gabriel, Santos; Raphinha, Casemiro, Guimarães, Martinelli; Pedro, Estêvão.
Bolivia vs Brazil Main Match Info
- Date and Kickoff Time: Tuesday, September 9, 2025, 8:30 PM EDT
- Stadium: Estadio Municipal El Alto
- Location: El Alto, Bolivia
- Last match: Brazil 5:1 Bolivia (September 8, 2023, World Cup Qualifiers)
Bolivia vs Brazil Prediction, Odds
- Pick: Double chance Bolivia (win or draw)
- Odds: -143 (Tonybet)
- Correct score prediction: Bolivia 1-1 Brazil
Brazil are the undisputed favourites heading into this clash. Not only because they remain undefeated under Ancelotti’s tutelage, and certainly not because they’re a team capable of adjusting to altitude conditions. The truth is, from a talent perspective, the Brazilians should be able to defeat Bolivia in most meetings, regardless of competition or environment.
However, the fact that this game will be played at nearly 4,000 meters above sea level should give the hosts enough of a chance to steal at least a point from the five-time FIFA World Cup winners. La Verde have taken points in three of their previous five fixtures against Brazil at home, and another draw here would keep their qualifying chances alive, though that will still depend on Venezuela’s result against Colombia.
Considering the quick turnaround between matches, the struggle that might represent adjusting to altitude for the Brazilian squad, and Bolivia’s massive need to secure points, the home side could very well come away with at least a point here.
Bolivia vs Brazil Betting Tip
- Pick: Bolivia handicap +0.5
- Odds: -130 (Tonybet)
Given that Bolivia should have enough quality to steal a point against Brazil, backing them up with a +0.5 handicap doesn’t look like the worst idea. Essentially, they need to avoid any loss to cover that spread, meaning a win or a draw would be enough to do so. La Verde will undoubtedly be happy with such an outcome, as earning at least a point would keep their qualifying dreams alive.
The fact that Bolivia have covered the +0.5 spread in three of their previous four World Cup qualifying matches at home against Brazil boosts their chances of earning a positive result here. The team are also undefeated in their last six home qualifiers (W4, D2), scoring at least twice in four of those games and keeping five clean sheets.
Bolivia vs Brazil: Where to Watch (Canada)
- Fanatiz Canada
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