| Moneyline Pick | Real Madrid to Win (-110) |
| Player Prop | Kylian Mbappé to Score (-148) |
| Same Game Parlay | Real Madrid to Win + Kylian Mbappé to Score + Over 2.5 Goals (+210) |
| Check Live Odds | |
Benfica vs Real Madrid Main Match Info
- Date and Time: Tuesday, February 17, 2026, 03:00 PM EST
- Venue: Estádio da Luz
- Location: Lisbon, Portugal
- Last H2H match: Benfica 4-2 Real Madrid (2025/26 Champions League Season, January 2026)
Benfica vs Real Madrid Moneyline Prediction
- Moneyline Pick: Real Madrid to Win
- Odds: -110 (Tonybet)
Despite their dramatic 4-2 win over Real Madrid, Benfica’s form has been far from ideal. They’ve lost four of their seven Champions League matches without scoring.
Recent Liga Portugal results also suggest they haven’t been at their best, as they’ve struggled against underdogs such as Santa Clara and Alverca.
Real Madrid, on the other hand, have been in perfect form, winning three games in a row. Moreover, the returns of Antonio Rüdiger, Ferland Mendy, and Trent Alexander-Arnold should also stabilise the back line. Thus, we anticipate a comfortable victory for the visitors.
Benfica vs Real Madrid Player Prop
- Prop Bet: Kylian Mbappé to Score
- Odds: -148 (Tonybet)
Mbappé has already collected 38 goals in 31 games this season while leading the Champions League with 13. Benfica are an aggressive home side, which often means space appears in the zones Mbappé loves to attack (the channels and the box on fast breaks).
📸🤩🧳@LouisVuitton pic.twitter.com/Ok5ASOHNeY
— Real Madrid C.F. 🇬🇧🇺🇸 (@realmadriden) February 16, 2026
The French forward has 15 shots on target across his last five La Liga matches and has already recorded 50 shots on target this season.
Real Madrid will likely control possession while also generating sharp transition moments when Benfica commit numbers forward. That mix is perfect for Mbappé, who relies on quick attacks into space and cutbacks after sustained pressure.
Benfica vs Real Madrid Same Game Parlay
- SGP: Real Madrid to Win + Kylian Mbappé to Score + Over 2.5 Goals
- Odds: +210 (Tonybet)
Real Madrid to Win: Real Madrid are in great form and have won three consecutive fixtures. While Benfica’s home advantage matters, Los Blancos’ momentum and squad quality should tilt this in the visitors’ favour.
Kylian Mbappé to Score: Mbappé is Real Madrid’s primary forward with 13 goals in the Champions League this season. He scores in almost every game and should find the net against Benfica too.
Over 2.5 Goals: Four of Real Madrid’s last eight matches across all competitions under Álvaro Arbeloa have produced at least five goals. This clearly illustrates the change in style since Xabi Alonso’s departure. Benfica have struggled offensively in the Champions League, but they’ve scored six goals in three encounters under José Mourinho.
Benfica vs Real Madrid Team News
Benfica Team News
Benfica’s last few games highlight both their strengths and ongoing defensive issues. They dominated territory and chances in a 0-0 draw against Tondela (2.10 xG to 0.48, 77% possession, 24 shots, and four big chances) but failed to convert.
Against Alverca, the Eagles earned a 2-1 win with a 1.97 xG to 1.14 edge, yet still allowed the type of isolated moments that can punish you versus elite opponents.
Vangelis Pavlidis remains Benfica’s primary attacking threat. He’s netted 20 goals in Liga Portugal, but scored only twice in the Champions League.
Fredrik Aursnes didn’t feature against Santa Clara, but should be ready for Real Madrid. Alexander Bah, Samuel Soares, and Richard Ríos are sidelined.
Real Madrid Team News
Under Álvaro Arbeloa, Los Blancos have won six of their eight games across all competitions. The new coach has brought the right atmosphere and given his leaders more freedom on the pitch.
However, a lack of reliability remains an issue. Madrid’s attacking structure is ruthless, but defensive lapses have resulted in 12 conceded goals in eight Champions League rounds.
🛫 Time for take-off!@LouisVuitton pic.twitter.com/5ukt5eu0sp
— Real Madrid C.F. 🇬🇧🇺🇸 (@realmadriden) February 16, 2026
Form-wise, Vinícius is flying after scoring twice in a 4-1 win over Real Sociedad. Overall, Madrid’s league profile stays elite, with 53 goals scored and 19 conceded, alongside 54.73 xG and 27.37 xGA.
Rodrygo is suspended for both legs after UEFA handed him a two-match ban following the earlier defeat in Lisbon. Jude Bellingham and Éder Militão are also out.
Benfica vs Real Madrid: Where to Watch (Canada)
- DAZN
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