| Moneyline Pick | Real Madrid to Win (+143) |
| Player Prop | Gonzalo Garcia to Score (+229) |
| Same Game Parlay | Real Madrid to Win + Gonzalo Garcia to Score + BTTS (+500) |
| Check Live Odds | |
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Main Match Info
- Date and Time: Thursday, January 8, 2026, 02:00 EST
- Venue: King Abdullah Sports City
- Location: Jeddah, Saudi Arabia
- Last H2H match: Atletico Madrid 5-2 Real Madrid (2025-26 LaLiga Season, September 2025)
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Moneyline Prediction
- Moneyline Pick: Real Madrid to Win
- Odds: +143 (Tonybet)
In this highly anticipated clash, Real Madrid are slight favourites. After a thrashing 5-2 defeat in September 2025, Xabi Alonso’s men will be looking for revenge, and this fixture presents a perfect opportunity.
On a neutral pitch, Atletico lose their Metropolitano edge, and in almost every crucial matchup, Los Blancos have beaten their archrivals.
At the same time, Real Madrid’s speed in transition, combined with wide 1v1s, can punish Simeone’s mid-block when the fullbacks step out.
Both teams played league games on January 4, but Madrid’s 5-1 win over Betis was particularly convincing. We expect a tough and physical encounter where the nominal visitors should take the win.
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Player Prop
- Prop Bet: Gonzalo Garcia to Score
- Odds: +229 (Tonybet)
In Kylian Mbappe’s absence, Gonzalo Garcia has just hit a hat-trick, and he should be in the spotlight against Atletico. If Simeone’s block sits deep, Gonzalo’s best skill, sharp near-post and six-yard-box movement, will become more valuable than pure dribbling.
Despite limited minutes this season, he’s netted three goals from 2.49 xG while taking seven shots and four on target across 258 minutes. It’s a decent result given his playing time.
With Atletico coming off a 1-1 away draw, Real Madrid should generate enough box touches to create chances for Garcia. He has an instinct for goal, and we expect him to trouble Diego Simeone’s side.
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Same Game Parlay
- SGP: Real Madrid to Win + Gonzalo Garcia to Score + BTTS
- Odds: +500 (Tonybet)
Real Madrid to Win: Real Madrid boast a stronger xG differential, more depth off the bench, and solid form. Their ability to control big-match moments gives them the edge over Atletico away from the Metropolitano.
Gonzalo Garcia to Score: With increased minutes and confidence after his recent breakout performance, Gonzalo Garcia should see more scoring opportunities, especially with Mbappe unavailable.
BTTS: Atletico remain dangerous in one-off matches and rarely go quietly in cup competitions. Madrid’s aggressive fullbacks and high defensive line can concede chances. Also, each of the last 12 H2H meetings has seen goals at both ends.
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Team News
Atletico Madrid Team News
Atletico drew their last LaLiga match against Sociedad 1-1. Jan Oblak kept them alive with multiple big saves, while Alexander Sørloth continues to give them a direct threat from set pieces. Diego Simeone has publicly backed Julian Alvarez despite his quieter spell, suggesting he’ll keep trusting him in big games.
Atleti’s best attacking moves are still built on quick verticals and crosses, but their chance creation isn’t always dominant, even in wins. A key concern remains defensive transitions. Against Real Sociedad, they scored but then conceded almost immediately on a counterattack, and the overall xG tilted in favour of the hosts.
Atletico arrive for this fixture with practically no absentees. Only Clement Lenglet is sidelined with a knee injury.
Real Madrid Team News
Real Madrid claimed their fourth consecutive victory across all competitions by defeating Betis 5-1 in a dominant performance. Xabi Alonso’s men were clinical, producing 2.94 xG and 19 shots, and completely shut down their opponents.
Los Blancos managed to achieve this result without Kylian Mbappe. Arguably Real Madrid’s best player this season, the French forward is out with a knee problem and won’t feature. However, Gonzalo Garcia stepped up in his absence, netting three goals.
In addition to Mbappe, Real Madrid will be without Trent Alexander-Arnold, Eder Militao, and Dean Huijsen.
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid: Where to Watch (Canada)
- ESPN
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