| Moneyline Pick | Aston Villa to Win (-209) |
| Player Prop | Ollie Watkins to Score (+112) |
| Same Game Parlay | Aston Villa to Win + Ollie Watkins to Score + Over 2.5 Goals (+175) |
| Check Live Odds | |
Aston Villa vs Red Bull Salzburg Main Match Info
- Date and Time: Thursday, January 29, 2026, 03:00 PM EST
- Venue: Villa Park
- Location: Birmingham, England
- Last H2H match: Never played before
Aston Villa vs Red Bull Salzburg Moneyline Prediction
- Moneyline Pick: Aston Villa to Win
- Odds: -209 (Tonybet)
Aston Villa are heavy favourites at home. They sit second in the table, while Salzburg are on the brink of elimination. Moreover, their defence concedes just 0.82 goals per home game, so they rarely gift cheap chances.
The Red Bulls carry a threat but play looser. In Austria, they average about 1.77 xG and 1.47 xGA per match.
Tactically, Emery’s 4-2-3-1 can bait Salzburg’s press, then hit the space behind with Watkins and quick wide releases. Villa’s deeper rotation is also an advantage, and it’s hard to see the visitors matching the hosts’ intensity over 90 minutes.
Aston Villa vs Red Bull Salzburg Player Prop
- Prop Bet: Ollie Watkins to Score
- Odds: +112 (Tonybet)
Ollie Watkins has just found the net against Newcastle and now has eight Premier League goals this season. He’s also Aston Villa’s highest-volume finisher (49 league shots) with a strong scoring profile (0.49 non-pen xG per 90).
Salzburg’s identity is built around aggressive pressing and counter-pressing, which can leave space behind the first wave – the channels Watkins attacks with curved runs and first-time finishes.
The Villans should control territory at home, forcing the Red Bulls to defend transitions and set pieces. The English forward is also great at converting chances, and we expect him to upset Salzburg at least once.
Aston Villa vs Red Bull Salzburg Same Game Parlay
- SGP: Aston Villa to Win + Ollie Watkins to Score + Over 2.5 Goals
- Odds: +175 (Tonybet)
Aston Villa to Win: Aston Villa have won 11 of their last 12 home matches. Salzburg, meanwhile, have been struggling on the road, with only one victory in their previous six games. Given a clear gap in quality, expect another home victory.
Ollie Watkins to Score: Watkins is coming in hot after scoring against Newcastle. Salzburg’s defence concedes regularly in the Europa League, making the English striker a strong candidate to score at least once.
Over 2.5 Goals: Given the Red Bulls’ tendency to both score and concede, this matchup shapes up as a lively affair with at least three goals.
Aston Villa vs Red Bull Salzburg Team News
Aston Villa Team News
In the last three league encounters, Villa’s results have swung on chance quality. They beat Newcastle 0-2 despite losing the xG battle (1.22-2.22). They fell 0-1 to Everton despite edging xG (1.21-1.14), and drew 0-0 at Crystal Palace in a fairly even xG game (1.50-1.74).
Emiliano Buendia has seen a resurgence in form. He found the net against Newcastle and consistently poses a threat. Morgan Rogers is the team’s second-highest scorer behind Ollie Watkins, with seven goals.
Boubacar Kamara is feared to be out long-term with a knee injury. Captain John McGinn is expected to miss several weeks with a knee issue. Ross Barkley and recent signing Alysson are also out.
Red Bull Salzburg Team News
Despite beating Basel 3-1 at home, Salzburg have slim chances of advancing to the play-offs. With six points, they sit 28th in the table, two behind Celtic, having taken all their points at home.
Their weaknesses are most apparent against structured opponents. At Freiburg, they produced just 0.46 xG and were punished on set play – an issue that could be exploited at Villa Park. If the first press is broken, the space behind midfield becomes targetable, and Salzburg’s young defence can be stretched.
Centre-back John Mellberg and holding midfielder Takumu Kawamura are sidelined. Otherwise, the visitors’ squad is in good health.
Aston Villa vs Red Bull Salzburg: Where to Watch (Canada)
- DAZN
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