| Moneyline Pick | Aston Villa to Win (-154) |
| Player Prop | Ollie Watkins to Score (+143) |
| Same Game Parlay | Aston Villa to Win + Ollie Watkins to Score + Over 1.5 Goals (+200) |
| Check Live Odds | |
Aston Villa vs Bologna Main Match Info
- Date and Time: Thursday, April 16, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
- Venue: Villa Park
- Location: Birmingham, England
- Last H2H match: Bologna 1-3 Aston Villa (2025/26 Europa League, April 2026)
Aston Villa vs Bologna Moneyline Prediction
- Moneyline Pick: Aston Villa to Win
- Odds: -154 (Tonybet)
Aston Villa return to Villa Park with a 3-1 lead from the first leg. In Bologna, they were the stronger side in terms of chance creation, leading 1.64 to 0.90 in xG and producing four big chances compared to the Rossoblù’s one.
There’s also a situational edge. Villa have already beaten Bologna twice this season, and the visitors are now forced to chase. That should open up even more transition opportunities, which suits Unai Emery’s structure.
Villa haven’t lost a home game in the Europa League this season. Given Emery’s track record in this tournament, we expect another victory for the hosts.
Aston Villa vs Bologna Player Prop
- Prop Bet: Ollie Watkins to Score
- Odds: +143 (Tonybet)
Ollie Watkins scored twice in the first leg. He’s recorded three goals and 19 total attempts in the Europa League campaign and has also netted nine goals in the Premier League.
Watkins attacks space quickly, punishes loose touches, and finishes before defences can reset. His first goal came after Villa turned an interception into an immediate chance inside the box, while the second followed Bologna’s failure to deal with a set piece.
The Rossoblù can’t afford to sit in a low block, while Emery’s side don’t need long spells of possession. If the visitors push higher to rescue the tie, Watkins should get the exact kind of game he wants.
Aston Villa vs Bologna Same Game Parlay
- SGP: Aston Villa to Win + Ollie Watkins to Score + Over 1.5 Goals
- Odds: +200 (Tonybet)
Aston Villa to Win: Aston Villa have demonstrated their clinical finishing in the first leg, despite surrendering possession. Now at home, they are clear favourites to follow up with another victory.
Ollie Watkins to Score: Watkins was a standout player last week, scoring a brace. With Bologna forced to push forward, the English forward is likely to get even more chances to find the net.
Over 1.5 Goals: The Rossoblù need at least two goals to stay in the tie, while the Villans are unlikely to leave their home soil without scoring. That points toward an open and lively match.
Aston Villa vs Bologna Team News
Aston Villa Team News
Against Bologna, Aston Villa were ruthless rather than dominant. With only eight shots, they generated 1.57 xG but scored three times. Against Forest, the pattern changed slightly. The Villans had more of the ball and posted 1.02 xG to Forest’s 1.15, yet wasted three big chances.
Morgan Rogers remains important, even if his productivity has dipped. The midfielder has registered eight goals and five assists in the Premier League. Youri Tielemans is a massive presence in the midfield, and he delivered two assists in Bologna.
Boubacar Kamara remains out with a knee injury. The other key concern is Emiliano Martínez, who was pulled out of the starting XI just before the 1-1 draw at Nottingham.
Bologna Team News
Bologna’s 58% possession turned out to be in vain, as they lost 1-3 in the first leg. However, they grabbed a crucial 2-0 victory over Lecce, where they generated 2.16 xG and limited their opponents to a single shot on target.
Jonathan Rowe was Bologna’s standout performer in the first leg, constantly isolating Villa’s right side and eventually scoring. Federico Bernardeschi has netted five goals in the Europa League. He adds creativity between the lines and from set pieces. Lewis Ferguson’s return strengthens their midfield balance.
Łukasz Skorupski is out with a hamstring injury, while Jhon Lucumí is suspended. Charalampos Lykogiannis and Thijs Dallinga are dealing with muscular issues.
Aston Villa vs Bologna: Where to Watch (Canada)
- DAZN
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