Arsenal vs Burnley Prediction, Odds & SGP Picks (May 18)
Calendar icon Updated 15 May 11:46

Arsenal vs Burnley Prediction, Odds & SGP Picks (May 18)

Giorgi Natsvlishvili
Moneyline PickArsenal to Win (-1112)
Player PropViktor Gyökeres to Score (-170)
Same Game ParlayArsenal to Win + Viktor Gyökeres to Score + Over 2.5 Goals (-111)
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Arsenal vs Burnley Main Match Info

Arsenal vs Burnley Moneyline Prediction

Arsenal enter the matchup atop the table with 79 points and remain in pursuit of their first Premier League title in 22 years. Burnley, meanwhile, have already been relegated and have the league’s weakest defensive record with 73 goals conceded.

Arsenal have historically dominated this fixture and already beat them 2-0 away earlier this season. Burnley have also lost 63% of their league games during the current campaign.

Motivation strongly favours Arsenal as well. The title race is still alive, and the Gunners have won four of their last five matches while playing with the urgency of a side that understands goal difference could still prove decisive.

Arsenal vs Burnley Player Prop

Viktor Gyökeres is Arsenal’s leading scorer with 14 Premier League goals. He’s posted 7.18 xG and recorded 137 touches in the opposition box.

Burnley are a low-block side that still concede too many high-value chances when forced to defend deep. Arsenal should control possession, attack through wide overloads, and deliver early balls into the box, which suits Gyökeres well.

The Gunners are expected to start fast, push Burnley into their own box, and keep attacking even if they take an early lead. In that kind of match, Gyökeres is Arsenal’s most logical goal route.

Arsenal vs Burnley Same Game Parlay

Arsenal to Win: Arsenal cannot afford to drop points against an already relegated Burnley side. They’ve won 10 of their last 12 home matches. In a must-win scenario, the Gunners are heavy favourites to claim a victory.

Viktor Gyökeres to Score: Gyökeres has scored 14 goals in the Premier League. Given his physical traits and presence in the box, the Swedish forward is the likeliest candidate to score.

Over 2.5 Goals: Arsenal are unlikely to settle for a narrow victory because goal difference could still influence the title race. With Burnley struggling defensively throughout the campaign, this matchup has strong potential to turn into a high-scoring affair.

Arsenal vs Burnley Team News

Arsenal Team News 

Arsenal have shown a consistent pattern across their last two league matches. Against Fulham, they won 3-0 with 3.47 xG, 18 shots, and allowed only 0.55 xGA in a complete home performance.

In their 0-1 victory over West Ham, they recorded 64% possession, 15 shots, and 1.31 xG, but the Hammers still generated 1.19 xG, highlighting that the Gunners can still be vulnerable at times.

Viktor Gyökeres leads the team with 14 league goals. Bukayo Saka scored the decisive goal against Atletico Madrid in the Champions League semi-final, while Leandro Trossard delivered the winner against West Ham.

Ben White is out with a long-term knee injury, while Jurrien Timber is also sidelined. Riccardo Calafiori is back in training.

Burnley Team News

Burnley are 19th with only 21 points and have already been relegated. Their 2-2 draw against Aston Villa showed both sides of the team. They posted 1.79 xG and 15 shots, but also conceded 1.44 xG, which illustrates their defensive frailties.

Jaidon Anthony has been the Clarets’ most dangerous attacker, and he scored in the 2-2 draw against Aston Villa last weekend. Zian Flemming also remains important between the lines as one of the few Burnley players capable of linking midfield and attack under pressure.

Josh Cullen is out with a cruciate ligament injury. Jordan Beyer remains sidelined, and Connor Roberts is also unavailable.

Arsenal vs Burnley: Where to Watch (Canada) 

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