Argentina vs Egypt Prediction, Odds & SGP Picks (July 7)
Calendar icon Updated 06 Jul 09:55

Argentina vs Egypt Prediction, Odds & SGP Picks (July 7)

Giorgi Natsvlishvili
Moneyline PickArgentina to Win (-251)
Player PropLionel Messi to Score (-150)
Same Game ParlayArgentina to Win + Lionel Messi to Score + Under 2.5 Goals (+425)
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Argentina vs Egypt Main Match Info

Argentina vs Egypt Moneyline Prediction

Argentina have won all four of their World Cup matches, averaging 2.75 goals per game while conceding just 0.75. Egypt, by comparison, average 1.50 goals scored, 1.00 conceded, and 1.56 xGA per game.

The Albiceleste’s midfield also holds a clear advantage in controlling transitions, limiting the space the Pharaohs need to exploit. The main concern is fatigue, as both teams endured demanding Round of 32 clashes. Egypt required extra time and penalties to eliminate Australia, while Argentina survived an exhausting 3-2 victory over Cape Verde.

With a favourable bracket until the semifinals, Lionel Scaloni’s men should capitalise on the opportunity and book their place in the next round.

Argentina vs Egypt Player Prop

Lionel Messi has already scored seven goals at the tournament from 3.82 xG, making him both the competition’s leading scorer and Argentina’s most reliable finisher. He also found the net in the Albiceleste’s 3-2 extra-time win over Cape Verde.

The matchup is also favourable for him, as Egypt have conceded in every game at this World Cup. The Pharaohs’ main danger comes from Mohamed Salah and Omar Marmoush in transition, but that approach will likely force them to defend long spells without the ball.

Messi is averaging 6.75 shots and 4.05 on target per 90 minutes at this World Cup – elite numbers by any standard. Given his recent form, another goal from the 39-year-old looks likely.

Argentina vs Egypt Same Game Parlay

Argentina to Win: Argentina are favourites to advance, as they’ve been the more consistent side throughout the tournament. Egypt, meanwhile, have struggled defensively and have yet to keep a clean sheet. As such, we expect Lionel Scaloni’s men to win in regular time.

Lionel Messi to Score: Messi has now scored in his eighth consecutive World Cup outing. Given how dependent Argentina are on him, the Inter Miami forward remains the most likely player to find the net once again.

Under 2.5 Goals: 10 of Egypt’s last 14 matches have produced fewer than three goals in regular time. Argentina have also been defensively strong, conceding just 0.52 xGA per game. The cost of error in the Round of 16 is too high, so we anticipate a low-scoring affair.

Argentina vs Egypt Team News

Argentina Team News 

Despite being considered heavy favourites, Argentina needed extra time to defeat Cape Verde 3-2. Lionel Messi admitted the Albiceleste were tired and could not press high enough. However, they managed to avoid a penalty shootout when Diney scored an own goal from a corner kick.

Messi remains Argentina’s main attacking weapon with seven tournament goals. Lautaro Martínez has scored once from 1.77 xG, and Lisandro Martínez added a goal and assist in the last match. Rodrigo De Paul was also solid in midfield and completed 95% of his passes.

Facundo Medina is Argentina’s main fitness concern. Enzo Fernández also had his workload managed, but both are expected to be available.

Egypt Team News

Egypt have conceded exactly one goal in each of their last four matches, including Mohamed Hany’s second own goal of the tournament against Australia. Their group-stage xG difference was only +0.12 per game, ranking 23rd.

Mohamed Salah produced two shots and five key passes against Australia, with most of his best actions coming after 90 minutes. Emam Ashour has been Egypt’s standout performer. He scored his second tournament goal against Australia while leading the team with five shot attempts.

The Pharaohs’ biggest concern is Salah’s fitness. He played 120 minutes against Australia, but Reuters reported that he went into the match with a hamstring issue and did not look fully comfortable sprinting at maximum speed.

Argentina vs Egypt: Where to Watch (Canada) 

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