Albacete vs FC Barcelona Prediction, Odds & SGP Picks (Feb 3)
Calendar icon Published 02 Feb 15:49

Albacete vs FC Barcelona Prediction, Odds & SGP Picks (Feb 3)

Kai Edvard Iliev Kai Edvard Iliev
Moneyline PickFC Barcelona to win (-477)
Player PropRoony Bardghji  to score (+150)
Same Game ParlayFC Barcelona to win + Roony Bardghji to score + over 3.5 goals (+130)
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Albacete vs FC Barcelona Main Match Info

Albacete vs FC Barcelona Moneyline Prediction

Hansi Flick’s side favour attack over defence, which usually leads to pacey counter-attacks, where individual quality becomes a decisive factor (scoring 60 goals in 22 matches). 

Despite the home advantage, Albacete are expected to lose as they have only defeated Barcelona once in ten h2h meetings. The Catalans have the highest xG in La Liga (56). They haven’t struggled away from home, previously defeating Racing Santander (2-0). 

As Albacete win their matches through methodical counter-attack, they will be overwhelmed by Barcelona’s pace, who field younger players like Roony, Ferrán Torres and Pau Cubarsí. 

Albacete vs FC Barcelona Player Prop

Roony Bardghji scoring is the standout prop. He scored and assisted in one of the few games where he started (against Athletic Club).

The winger stands out in his shot attempts per 90 (4.5), equalling both Robert Lewandowski and Lamine Yamal in that regard. 

Barca’s opponents, Albacete, have conceded more goals (34) than they have scored (30), as they lack physically imposing players (only Jesus Vallejo is over 183 cm). The bet’s mispricing is related to Bardghji’s few appearances, as expected line-ups do not take into account rotations. 

Barcelona’s dominance is expected to benefit Bardghji, as it will allow him more touches on the ball, which grant him more attacking freedom as a high-volume dribbler. Against Athletic Club, it directly led to him scoring. 

Lamine Yamal is expected to rest, freeing the way for Bardghji to convince his manager to give him more chances, having only started 3 matches this season. 

Albacete vs FC Barcelona Same Game Parlay

This match is the textbook definition of a blowout. La Liga leaders Barcelona will face second division side Albacete, who struggle to score more than one goal per game. The Catalans already faced Santander, the leader of La Liga 2, where they dominated the game with 2.58 xG. 

This has been a trend in recent games as well, with Barcelona recording 6.44 xG against Elche last weekend. 

After Lamine Yamal, Bardghji is the best dribbler of the squad, registering 56% success, which places him in the top 14% of La Liga. 

Albacete vs FC Barcelona Team News

Albacete Team News

Albacete defeated Real Zaragoza (2-0), registering 1.86 xG, dominating the first 15 minutes of both halves. Due to the relatively high average age (28.5) of the squad, Albacete rarely sustain their attacking advantage, which leads to low-scoring games. 

Coach Alberto González first set his team up in a 4-3-3 formation to grant Jefte Betancor more attacking freedom, but he has switched to a 5-3-2 recently to set up a more compact block in the defence. This is evidenced by their approach against Zaragoza, where the team only recorded 36% possession. 

However, this differs from their approach against other sides, as they shared possession against Cádiz (47% possession). Since they have fewer attackers and midfielders while having more defenders, it meant that their creative numbers suffered from that change (0.86 xG). 

FC Barcelona Team News

Hansi Flick’s side relies on rapid counter-attacks, mixed with high pressure to outrun their opponents, while midfielders aim to control the game. This is why Pedri’s injury was deemed a major setback, as the other midfielders struggle to set their own tempo. 

Frenkie de Jong has replaced him in that role, with Dani Olmo acting as the bridge between the midfield and the attack. 

Barcelona consistently outscore their opponents, thanks to Lamine Yamal’s dribbling and Raphinha’s involvement in the penalty box. They have registered 56 xG, the most of any side in La Liga. Flick’s side steamrolled past Elche (6.44 xG) and didn’t concede a single big chance against Real Oviedo (3-0). 

Hansi Flick’s side have scored 15 goals in their last five games, as their opponents end up overwhelmed by the likes of Fermin López, Raphinha and Ferrán Torres. Their movements inside the penalty box inevitably confuse opponents, due to the pace of their counter-attacks.

Andreas Christensen, Pedri, and Gavi will be sidelined due to injuries. 

Albacete vs FC Barcelona: Where to Watch (Canada) 

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