Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild Prediction: Moneyline, Props & SGP (Apr 30)
Calendar icon Updated 29 Apr 12:32

Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild Prediction: Moneyline, Props & SGP (Apr 30)

Juan Pablo Aravena Juan Pablo Aravena
Moneyline PickDallas Stars
Player PropJason Robertson over 0.5 goals
Same Game ParlayStars to win + Over 5.5 goals + Jason Robertson over 3.5 shots on goal
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Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild Main Match Info

Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild Moneyline Prediction

The Stars are coming off back-to-back losses, and just like that, they’ve gone from holding a commanding 2-1 lead in the series to being down 3-2 and losing home-ice advantage.

The team looked overmatched defensively in Tuesday’s Game 5 loss, and it’s clear that’s an area where they need to tighten things up after being outshot 28-22 despite playing at home.

The Stars have also allowed at least three goals in three straight games.

The Wild are on the cusp of pulling off an upset and eliminating Dallas, but they can’t be completely trusted in crunch time even after back-to-back wins. Minnesota have struggled in penalty-killing situations, which is often an issue in physical battles in the postseason.

They’ve been overachieving defensively as well, as their 2.60 goals allowed per game rank fifth in the playoffs compared to 2.92 in the regular season.

There are no changes expected in the goaltending duel, as Jake Oettinger should remain the Stars’ first-choice netminder despite posting a 2.78 GAA and .899 save percentage through his first five playoff starts.

The Wild have relied on Jesper Wallstedt throughout the series, and that should be the case again in Game 6. He’s posted a 2.05 GAA and .926 save percentage, stopping at least 90% of the shots in four of his last five outings.

The Wild hold home-ice advantage, but the Stars tend to bounce back after losses and have the offensive firepower to dismantle any defence. Minnesota are bound for some regression on the defensive end, mainly with Wallstedt’s performances, while Dallas have underachieved a bit.

A regression to the norm indicates the Stars should win here and force a pivotal Game 7 in Dallas on Saturday.

Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild Player Prop

Jason Robertson has been nearly unstoppable in the playoffs and has found the back of the net in every game.

Two of his goals came in the power play – an area where the Stars have thrived and the Wild have struggled. Dallas will need Robertson, who racked up 45 goals and 96 points in the regular season, to be at his best if they want to keep their season alive.

Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild Same Game Parlay

We’re anchoring our three-leg parlay with a win for the Stars and a high-scoring matchup, which aligns with the level of offensive firepower on both sides.

These teams ranked eighth (Dallas) and 11th (Minnesota) in goals scored in the regular season, so a high-total encounter would not be surprising.

After all, four of the five meetings in this series have produced at least six goals. Pace should ultimately dictate the outcome. If it’s a slow, possession-based game, then the Wild may have the edge.

If the pace is as intense as it has been in previous clashes, the Stars should benefit, especially with their season on the line.

We’re also leaning on Jason Robertson to lead the way for Dallas on offence. He’s not just scoring consistently, as evidenced by his five-game goal streak, but also creating major matchup problems for the Wild’s defence.

Robertson has fired at least five shots on goal in every game of the series. Based on his volume and the urgency of this elimination spot, he should clear 3.5 shots with room to spare.

Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild Team News

Dallas Stars Team News

The Stars will be without several players through injury, but the biggest absences continue to be Roope Hintz (lower body) and Tyler Seguin (knee), two players who would be top-six forwards if healthy.

Hintz is expected back in the second round of the playoffs, while Seguin will miss the remainder of the 2025-26 season.

Minnesota Wild Team News

The Wild will be close to full strength, with the lone notable absence being Jonas Brodin due to a lower-body injury.

This allows Minnesota to field the same lineup used in Game 5, as they’re not likely to make any major tweaks in their pursuit of a series-clinching win on Thursday.

Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild: Where to Watch (Canada)

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