| Moneyline Pick | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| Player Prop | John Tavares over 0.5 goals |
| Same Game Parlay | Over 5.5 goals + Auston Matthews over 0.5 assists + Tim Stützle over 1.5 shots |
| Check Live Odds | |
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Main Match Info
- Date and Time: Saturday, February 28, 2026, 7 PM EST
- Arena: Scotiabank Arena
- Location: Toronto, ON, Canada
- Last match: Ottawa Senators 5:7 Toronto Maple Leafs (December 27, 2025, 2025-26 NHL regular season)
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Moneyline Prediction
- Moneyline Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs
This all-Canadian matchup is one of the biggest rivalries in the NHL, and while these kinds of games are always hard to predict, there’s no question that the Maple Leafs enter this clash in a better position compared to their opponents.
Toronto might be coming off back-to-back losses to the Panthers and Lightning, but those are two of the best sides in the Eastern Conference right now, so the task was always going to be difficult.
The Senators are also coming off a loss, as they were defeated in overtime by the Detroit Red Wings. While their recent 10-game record (W6, L3, OT1) looks better than Toronto’s (W3, L6, OT1), the fact that Ottawa have dropped two of their last three outings warrants some caution.
HERE WE GO! pic.twitter.com/MYJhC7RPjF
— Toronto Maple Leafs (@MapleLeafs) February 27, 2026
These teams are separated by just one point in the standings, underlining how closely matched they’ve been over the 2025-26 campaign.
The Maple Leafs are capable of more than what they’ve shown of late and should deliver a bounce-back performance in front of their fans. Although Toronto have lost their last five home encounters, they still hold a W16, L9, OT6 record at the Scotiabank Arena. Meanwhile, the Senators rank ninth in the East with more total losses (15: L12, OT3) than wins (14: W10, OT4) on the road.
Expect an open and competitive contest, but home advantage could ultimately prove decisive for Toronto.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Player Prop
- Prop Bet: John Tavares over 0.5 goals
The Maple Leafs have outstanding depth when it comes to their attack, and the trio of Auston Matthews, William Nylander, and John Tavares is a nightmare matchup for any defensive line.
This time, we’re backing Tavares to find the back of the net once again.
The veteran forward has not only scored 22 goals this season, which is the second-best mark in the team behind Matthews’ 26, but he’s also been very productive of late. Tavares is on a four-game point and three-game goal streak, having racked up three goals, one assist, and nine shots in those four contests.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Same Game Parlay
- SGP: Over 5.5 goals + Auston Matthews over 0.5 assists + Tim Stützle over 1.5 shots
The previous head-to-head meeting between these sides was a goalfest, ending in a 7-5 win for Toronto, and we’re backing another high-scoring matchup this time around. Both teams are better offensively than defensively.
The Maple Leafs rank 14th in goals scored (3.22) and 27th in goals allowed (3.42) per game, while Ottawa are 12th (3.26) and 23rd (3.21), respectively.
We’re pairing the potential of a high-scoring affair with two specific player props in our three-leg parlay. Right now, it’s impossible to overlook what Auston Matthews brings to the table for Toronto.
Go time 👊 pic.twitter.com/ryvyJy0x3m
— Toronto Maple Leafs (@MapleLeafs) February 27, 2026
The star playmaker picked up an assist in Thursday’s 5-1 loss to the Panthers and is now riding a five-game assist streak, with five helpers over that span and seven over his last 10 contests.
Last but not least, Tim Stützle could be a reliable scoring weapon for the Senators. The centre, who represented Germany in the 2026 Winter Olympics, has recorded multiple shots in 11 of his last 14 appearances, though he has fallen short of that mark in the last two. With Toronto being a below-average side defensively, however, the 24-year-old could be in a position to bounce back. He has five goals in his last six outings.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Team News
Toronto Maple Leafs Team News
The Maple Leafs are close to full strength for this contest. The lone confirmed absence is Chris Tanev, with the veteran defenceman still on the shelf due to a groin injury. He’s scheduled to return in the early days of March, meaning he’ll still miss at least a few more games. The rest of the team is healthy and available.
Ottawa Senators Team News
The Senators are reporting very few injuries, and just like Toronto, they’re also quite close to full strength. The lone confirmed absence is winger David Perron (groin), who’s scheduled to return from injury around mid-March. Nikolas Matinpalo is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will be a game-time call for this matchup.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators: Where to Watch (Canada)
- Watch on CBC, SNO, SNP, TVAS2
- Stream on CBC Gem, Sportsnet+, TVAS+
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