| Moneyline Pick | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| Player Prop | Nikita Kucherov over 0.5 goals |
| Same Game Parlay | Over 5.5 goals + Nikita Kucherov over 3.5 total shots + Auston Matthews over 2.5 shots |
| Check Live Odds | |
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs Main Match Info
- Date and Time: Saturday, March 7, 2026, 7 PM EST
- Arena: Scotiabank Arena
- Location: Toronto, ON, Canada
- Last match: Toronto Maple Leafs 2-4 Tampa Bay Lightning (February 25, 2025-26 NHL regular season)
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs Moneyline Prediction
- Moneyline Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning
The Lightning have been slumping lately. While their W6, L4 record over their last 10 outings is decent, they travel to Toronto on the heels of a four-game losing streak. Their most recent 4-1 defeat to the Winnipeg Jets was also the third consecutive encounter that they lost by multiple goals.
The Maple Leafs haven’t been much better, as they’re also riding a prolonged losing streak. The team have lost six times in a row and recently suffered a 6-2 defeat to the New York Rangers, who sit at the bottom of the Eastern Conference standings. Toronto have allowed four or more goals in five of those losses while posting a W3, L5, OT2 record in their last 10 contests.
A tally for 2️⃣1️⃣ https://t.co/5qHASLYVcN pic.twitter.com/k3W91RIUch
— Tampa Bay Lightning (@TBLightning) March 6, 2026
It’s hard to trust either of these two squads right now, but when comparing their personnel, the edge goes to the Lightning. They have a stronger lineup and have produced better results overall.
The Maple Leafs have had a fair share of struggles playing at home throughout the year, losing seven in a row at Scotiabank Arena. The Bolts should take advantage of that to earn the win and snap their losing skid.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop
- Prop Bet: Nikita Kucherov over 0.5 goals
If the Lightning are going to win in Toronto, they must improve defensively. However, they’ll also need their attack to exploit the Maple Leafs’ recent defensive woes.
Few players in the league are better equipped for that than Nikita Kucherov, who continues to be one of the best wingers in the NHL in his age-32 season.
To put into context just how good Nikita Kucherov has been in his last 22 games 😳
(h/t @JasonGregor) pic.twitter.com/KoSTrQRShF
— BarDown (@BarDown) February 26, 2026
He has scored two of the Lightning’s eight goals during the team’s ongoing losing skid, but he also has 32 goals and 64 assists across 56 appearances in the current campaign.
The Maple Leafs rank 29th in goals allowed per game this season, so this looks like an excellent matchup not only for Kucherov to score but also for the Lightning’s offence overall, as they rank fourth in goals scored per game (3.45).
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs Same Game Parlay
- SGP: Over 5.5 goals + Nikita Kucherov over 3.5 total shots + Auston Matthews over 2.5 shots
Our three-leg parlay leans toward a high-scoring contest, as the Lightning are one of the best offences in the NHL (3.45 per game), while the Maple Leafs rank 15th (3.16).
With both teams in dire need of a win, the matchup could open up and produce plenty of scoring chances at both ends, especially since neither has been particularly sharp defensively in recent encounters.
We’re pairing that outcome with high shot totals for two elite scoring threats in Nikita Kucherov (32 goals) and Auston Matthews (26 goals). Kucherov is averaging 3.5 shots per game over his last 10 appearances, while Matthews has recorded at least two shots in six outings in a row, averaging 3.7 per game in his last 10.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs Team News
Tampa Bay Lightning Team News
Gage Goncalves is listed as day-to-day with a lower-body injury. The Lightning medical staff will probably make a late call on his availability after Saturday morning’s skate.
Nick Paul (undisclosed) is on the LTIR, so he’s yet to return to the ice. The same goes for Dominic James (leg) and Max Crozier (abdomen), although both have been ruled out for the rest of the regular season and could only return if the Lightning make the playoffs.
Toronto Maple Leafs Team News
The Maple Leafs are expected to be without Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Scott Laughton, and Bobby McCann – all three players are being linked with potential trades away from the organisation and will be held out of this contest as well until their futures are decided one way or the other.
The lone injury concern for the Maple Leafs is veteran blueliner Chris Tanev, who is set to miss the rest of the 2025-26 season due to an abdominal injury.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Where to Watch (Canada)
- Watch on CBC, SNO
- Stream on CBC Gem
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