Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction: Moneyline, Props & SGP (May 12)
Calendar icon Published 11 May 11:11

Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction: Moneyline, Props & SGP (May 12)

Juan Pablo Aravena Juan Pablo Aravena
Moneyline PickMontreal Canadiens
Player PropCole Caufield over 0.5 points
Same Game ParlayOver 4.5 goals + Nick Suzuki over 0.5 points + Tage Thompson over 0.5 points
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Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres Main Match Info

Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres Moneyline Prediction

The Canadiens are trending in the right direction and have moved into the driver’s seat in the series after commanding wins in Games 2 and 3.

After losing the opener 4-2 in Buffalo, Montreal has responded with two dominant performances, scoring 11 goals while conceding just three to take a 2-1 lead in this Eastern Conference Semifinals.

With Game 4 set to take place at home on Tuesday, the Canadiens are in an excellent position to push their advantage to 3-1 before the action returns to Buffalo. Montreal have gone W2, L1, OT1 at home during the playoffs and enter this matchup having won three of their last four overall.

The Sabres, meanwhile, are struggling defensively with 13 goals allowed in the series against a Canadiens offence that scored 3.40 goals per game in the regular season – the seventh-best mark in the league.

As if Buffalo’s defensive issues weren’t enough of a problem, they’re also losing the goaltending battle. The Sabres should continue to have Alex Lyon between the posts, as he’s gone 4-3 with a 2.18 GAA and a .921 save percentage in the playoffs. The Canadiens will continue to ride on Jakub Dobes’ momentum, as he owns a 2.13 GAA with a .918 save percentage in 10 appearances.

Momentum is key in the playoffs, and Montreal have everything going for them, including home-ice advantage. They should cruise to a 3-1 series lead, leaving them in pole position to reach the Eastern Conference Finals.

Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres Player Prop

Cole Caufield has been slumping in the playoffs after notching 51 goals in the regular season, but he finally broke through with a goal and an assist in Game 3 on Sunday.

That two-point performance, which was his second multi-point effort in the current postseason run, snapped a five-game pointless drought.

Caufield’s numbers in the postseason still leave room for improvement, as he’s scored just two goals on 19 shots on target through his 10 playoff appearances. However, he’s just too good to continue struggling at this rate. He’s a strong candidate to find the back of the net again on Tuesday.

Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres Same Game Parlay

The Canadiens are averaging 2.90 goals per game in the playoffs, and the Sabres are scoring 3.00. Considering that each of the previous three meetings in the series has produced at least six goals, the over on 4.5 goals looks attainable.

Montreal alone have scored at least five goals in each of the last two encounters.

We’re pairing the expectation of another relatively high-scoring contest with two star playmakers finding a way to make an impact on offence. Nick Suzuki should have a prominent role as a playmaker for the Canadiens, and the same goes for Tage Thompson.

Suzuki recorded an assist in Game 3 and has cracked the scoresheet in every outing in this series – and nine times in 10 appearances during the current playoff run, tallying three goals and six assists.

As for Thompson, he leads the Sabres in points (nine) and assists (six) in the playoffs. He was directly involved in both Buffalo goals during the Game 3 loss, registering one goal and one assist.

Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres Team News

Montreal Canadiens Team News

The Canadiens won’t be making any significant changes to their lineup, which makes perfect sense after two dominant wins in Games 2 and 3.

Their lone injury concern is winger Patrik Laine, who continues to recover from an abdominal issue but could potentially return later in the postseason if Montreal reaches the Eastern Conference Final.

Buffalo Sabres Team News

The Sabres are still waiting on the possible returns of Justin Danforth and Jiri Kulich, though both remain on injured reserve for now. Despite managing only three goals over the last two outings, Buffalo aren’t expected to make significant adjustments to their offensive lines ahead of Game 4.

Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres: Where to Watch (Canada)

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