We’re back to domestic duty this weekend with 10 Premier League games from Saturday to Monday. We have some fascinating matches ahead of us with implications at both ends of the EPL for the title as well as relegation. Here are my best bets for Matchweek 33!
Newcastle vs. Tottenham (Saturday, April 13)
There’s a history of goals in this fixture. Earlier in the season we saw Spurs win 4-1 in North London and before that we saw Newcastle win 6-1 and 2-1. I strongly believe we’re set to see another goal-fest at St. James’ Park on Saturday.
The home side are weak defensively, allowing over 1.5 goals per game, while Spurs have let their opposition score in 10 of their last 11 in the Premier League. Spurs may be 13 points ahead in the Premier League, but most of the damage was done earlier in the season. We should see Newcastle take advantage of Spurs’ defensive naivety with a fiery home crowd behind them.
Pick: Newcastle to win and both teams to score (+270)
Bournemouth vs. Manchester United (Saturday, April 13)
Manchester United visit Bournemouth without a win in their past three games and in real danger of getting overtaken in the table by West Ham and Newcastle, and potentially even Chelsea, who are now just five points back. This United team have been shambolic and they face a tough first half on the South Coast.
Despite being 12th in the table, Bournemouth have won three of their past four and they’ve generally had solid defensive performances at home this season. In fact, 68.7% of their first halves have been goalless, and we haven’t seen a goal in the first half of the last five games at the Vitality.
Pick: Under 0.5 goals in the first half (+295)
Liverpool vs. Crystal Palace (Sunday, April 14)
Liverpool stumbled to a draw against Man Utd last weekend, which saw them drop down to second in the Premier League title on goal difference. They absolutely must win this Sunday and face 14th placed Crystal Palace, who have lost back-to-back games. Now is the time for Mohamed Salah to step up.
Through 25 Premier League games we’ve seen Mohamed Salah score 17 goals including one last weekend. He’s done well at home this season, scoring in nine of his last 13 games at Anfield in the Premier League.
Pick: Mohamed Salah to score (-148)
Arsenal vs. Aston Villa (Sunday, April 14)
It may just be on goal difference, but Arsenal head into this weekend top of the Premier League and with their eyes firmly locked on winning the title. They’ve won 10 of their last 11 games in the Premier League with their only dropped points coming in a draw against fellow title challengers Man City.
With Villa picking up just one win in their last four league games we should see the points go to Arsenal, and we should also see Over 2.5 goals land. We’ve seen Over 2.5 goals in nine of Villa’s past 11 in the Premier League as well as 73.3% of Arsenal’s league games at the Emirates this season.
Pick: Arsenal and Over 2.5 goals (-150)
Chelsea vs. Everton (Monday, April 15)
Cole Palmer is just 21 years old and he’s already become Chelsea’s best player. The former Man City man has bagged 16 goals in 26 Premier League games so far this season and comes into this fixture against relegation-threatened Everton in red-hot form.
Palmer has scored seven goals in his past five games in all competitions and has an impressive record of scoring in eight of his past 12 league games at Stamford Bridge. Now he faces 16th placed Everton who have conceded a goal in eight of their last nine games.
Pick: Cole Palmer to score (-109)
