Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors Prediction: Moneyline, Props & SGP (Mar 20)
Calendar icon Updated 19 Mar 17:34

Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors Prediction: Moneyline, Props & SGP (Mar 20)

Juan Pablo Aravena Juan Pablo Aravena
Moneyline PickDenver Nuggets 
Player PropNikola Jokic over 48.5 points + rebounds + assists 
Same Game Parlay (Bet Builder)Under 220.5 points + Jamal Murray over 21.5 points + RJ Barrett over 20.5 points
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Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors Main Match Info

Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors Moneyline Prediction

The Nuggets have been constantly on the move lately, alternating between home and away games in their last five. They’ve gone 3-2 during that stretch and are coming off a 125-118 away loss to the Memphis Grizzlies. 

Denver have been at their best at home, however, posting a 19-13 record at Ball Arena. With three wins in their last four encounters at the NBA’s highest-altitude venue, it’s easy to see why the Nuggets should be considered favourites here. 

The Raptors are riding a three-game winning streak after securing a 139-109 victory over the Chicago Bulls on Wednesday. However, their demanding travel schedule, which takes them across the country and into a different time zone, could work against them. 

It’s not as if Toronto have the deepest rotation in the league, either. Even though neither team are dealing with significant injury concerns, the travel factor should favour the Nuggets, who typically perform at their best at home court. 

The Raptors hold a 20-13 record on the road, but they’ve dropped three of their last four away games, which further strengthens Denver’s case as the favourites.

Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors Player Prop

Nikola Jokic came close to posting a triple-double in Wednesday’s loss to the Grizzlies, as he registered 29 points (11-19 FG, 2-4 3Pt, 5-8 FT), 14 rebounds, nine assists, three blocks, and one steal over 39 minutes. 

The star centre has been nearly unstoppable in recent weeks, and while the Raptors are a strong defensive unit, most teams need to be on their absolute best to even have a shot at slowing Jokic down.

The numbers strongly support Jokic’s case. He’s averaging a triple-double this month, with 26.3 points, 12.8 rebounds, and 10.7 assists per game in 10 March appearances, and he also has five triple-doubles this month alone. He’s recorded at least 50 P+R+A in three of his last four appearances and should have a good chance to hit that threshold once again.

Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors Same Game Parlay

Our three-leg parlay points toward a low-scoring contest. The Raptors might rank eighth in defensive rating after the All-Star break, at 110.8, but the Nuggets are 11th in offensive rating at 116.9. 

That suggests both defences will be tested, and with both teams ranking in the bottom half of the league in possession per game, a slow pace might translate into a low-scoring affair. The previous meeting between these two sides stayed well below the 220.5-point line in a 106-103 Denver win on New Year’s Eve.

We’re pairing that line with two elite offensive weapons delivering strong performances. Jamal Murray needs to shake off his scoring woes, as he’s shot a combined 10-for-34 from the field in the Nuggets’ last three games. 

Given that he’s still averaging 23.6 points, 6.1 assists, and 4.4 boards per game since the beginning of March, even with the recent struggles, a bounce-back is within the realm of possibilities for the star guard.

As for RJ Barrett, he’s likely to operate as the Raptors’ primary offensive option given his recent form. He’s scored at least 20 points in three outings in a row and in eight of his last nine appearances, averaging 23.3 points per game over that stretch while shooting 59.3 percent from the floor.

Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors Team News

Denver Nuggets Team News

The Nuggets will wait to see whether either Aaron Gordon or Peyton Watson can play on Friday. Both players are working through hamstring injuries, although Gordon’s absence on Wednesday was more of a maintenance decision than a serious concern. As for Watson, he has missed the team’s last 18 games, but recent reports suggest he might return for Friday’s clash.

Toronto Raptors Team News

The Raptors are expected to be close to full strength on this trip to Denver. The lone injury concern is rookie Collin Murray-Boyles, who has missed the team’s last nine games. His involvement in practice on Thursday will ultimately determine whether he can play on Friday.

Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors: Where to Watch (Canada) 

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