Colorado Avalanche vs Ottawa Senators Prediction & Odds: Moneyline, Prop & Total Goals (Nov 12)
Calendar icon Updated 12 Nov 11:42

Colorado Avalanche vs Ottawa Senators Prediction & Odds: Moneyline, Prop & Total Goals (Nov 12)

Juan Pablo Aravena Juan Pablo Aravena
Moneyline PickColorado Avalanche (-122)
Player PropCale Makar Under 2.5 Shots on Goal (-148)
Total GoalsOver 5.5 Goals (-167)
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Colorado Avalanche vs Ottawa Senators Main Game Info

Colorado Avalanche vs Ottawa Senators Moneyline Prediction

The Avalanche made it two straight wins with a 6-3 victory over the Toronto Maple Leafs on Tuesday, scoring 10 goals across those two encounters. They have gone 6-3-1 over their last 10 games but have won five of their last seven (5-1-1), suggesting the team is heading in the right direction.

The Senators are coming off a 3-2 overtime loss to the Washington Capitals. That result ended a two-game winning streak, leaving Ottawa with five wins in its last 10 outings overall (5-3-2). The Senators have also gone 2-1-1 in their last four at home, scoring 14 goals but allowing 15 over that stretch.

The Senators’ defensive numbers at home are concerning, particularly against an offence as potent as Colorado’s. The Avalanche rank 13th in power-play efficiency (22.6%), while Ottawa has the NHL’s 20th-ranked penalty kill (76.1%). The Senators also have the second-worst power play in the NHL (12.7%), making the Avalanche favourites.

Colorado Avalanche vs Ottawa Senators Projected Starting Goalies

The Avalanche have a noticeable advantage between the posts. Blackwood ranks 12th in the NHL in GAA among goaltenders with at least 10 games played. He’s expected to face Ersson, who has served as Ottawa’s backup and could start if Linus Ullmark remains unavailable with a lower-body injury. Ullmark currently leads the league with a 1.33 GAA.

Colorado Avalanche vs Ottawa Senators Player Prop

Cale Makar has recorded 12 points in his last six outings (two goals, 10 assists) but is averaging just 2.17 shots on goal per game over that stretch. The star blueliner has stayed below the 2.5-shot line in each of his last three appearances and in four of his last five during this productive run.

Makar plays on Colorado’s top pairing and quarterbacks the first power-play unit, but he could stay below this line once again. The Senators present a difficult matchup, having allowed the 10th-fewest shots on goal this season (360).

Colorado Avalanche vs Ottawa Senators Total Goals Prediction

The Avalanche rank first in scoring this season at 4.11 goals per game, while the Senators are 17th with 3.05. Neither team has been particularly dominant defensively, with Colorado allowing 3.05 goals per game (14th) and Ottawa conceding exactly 3.00 (12th). The Avalanche’s games average 7.16 total goals, and the Senators’ average 6.05.

Recent results also support the over. The over 5.5-goal line has hit in seven of Ottawa’s last 10 outings, eight of the Avalanche’s last 10, and five previous head-to-head meetings. Expect an open contest, with Colorado dictating the tempo.

Colorado Avalanche vs Ottawa Senators Team News and Injury Report

Colorado Avalanche Team News and Injury Report

The Avalanche are close to full strength, with only Zachary L’Heureux (upper body) and Josh Manson (ankle) sidelined. However, neither would have a prominent role in the lineup when healthy.

The Avalanche’s player to watch is star centre Nathan MacKinnon, who has recorded 30 points in 19 outings this season. Martin Necas is also worth monitoring, as the winger is on a three-game, six-point streak after scoring in Tuesday’s win over Toronto.

The Avalanche have had just one day of rest since Tuesday. This will be their second game of a four-game road trip.

Ottawa Senators Team News and Injury Report

The Senators are likely to be without Ullmark, so Ersson is trending towards a start. Ersson would take over as the No. 1 goaltender if Ullmark is set to miss time.

Ottawa will also be weakened offensively without forwards such as Nick Cousins (upper body), William Eklund (ankle), and Andre Burakovsky (lower body). As a result, Sammy Blais has moved into a top-six role, while Michael Amadio and Claude Giroux are on the third line.

The Senators will play their third straight game at home. They last faced the Capitals on Tuesday, so they have had just one day of rest.

Colorado Avalanche vs Ottawa Senators Projected Lines and Power Play Units

Colorado Avalanche vs Ottawa Senators: Where to Watch (Canada)

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