Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors Prediction: Moneyline, Props & SGP (Nov 11)
Calendar icon Updated 11 Nov 11:05

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors Prediction: Moneyline, Props & SGP (Nov 11)

Juan Pablo Aravena Juan Pablo Aravena
Moneyline PickBoston Celtics (-257)
Player PropPaul George Over 18.5 Points (-114)
Same Game Parlay (Bet Builder)Raptors +7.5 + Over 216.5 Points + Jakob Poeltl Over 11.5 Points (+400)
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Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors Main Match Info

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors Moneyline Prediction

The Celtics have been one of the hottest NBA teams in recent weeks. Their 123-101 win over the Philadelphia 76ers on Tuesday extended their winning run to four games and improved their record over the last 10 to 9-1. During that stretch, Boston has posted the league’s fourth-best offensive rating (119.1) and the best net rating (14.4).

Toronto, meanwhile, is coming off a 118-102 loss to the Memphis Grizzlies on Monday, meaning the team has lost four of its last six outings and five of its last eight. Injuries have taken a toll on the Raptors, and their -2.9 net rating over that eight-game stretch, the 12th-worst mark in the league, is another concern.

The home-and-away splits also favour the Celtics. They have won their last three road games, while the Raptors have lost their last two at home. Boston may have some roster adjustments as this is the second leg of a back-to-back, but even with potential rotation changes, it’s been the better team. The Celtics should extend their winning run, even if a tired roster keeps the margin tight.

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors Player Prop

George carried the Celtics in Tuesday’s win over the 76ers, scoring 36 points. The veteran forward has scored at least 25 points in three of his last four outings.

George’s recent scoring surge has been driven by improved efficiency rather than increased volume. He’s shot 51.4% from the three-point range over that stretch while averaging 17.3 shots per game. With a season average of 22.0 points per game, the 18.5-point line looks attainable, especially against a Toronto defence that has posted the fifth-worst defensive rating over the last five outings (121.1).

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors Same Game Parlay

Although the Celtics are clear favourites, I’m backing the Raptors to cover the +7.5-point spread. Toronto has home-court advantage, while Boston is playing the second game of a road back-to-back. Fatigue could become an issue for the Celtics, particularly if they don’t rest any key players.

The over at 216.5 points also looks sound, as this line has hit in each of the Raptors’ last seven outings, and Boston’s fatigue might loosen its defence. Offence has been a strength for both teams. Over their last 10 games. The Celtics rank fifth in offensive rating (119.6), while Toronto sits 10th (116.9).

Jakob Poeltl looks like a strong candidate to go over 11.5 points. With Kawhi Leonard and Scottie Barnes sidelined by injuries, Poeltl could see more touches and take on a bigger offensive role. He has scored at least 18 points in each of his last two appearances and has cleared this line in three of his last four.

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors Team News

Boston Celtics Team News

The Celtics had not released their injury report as of publication, and no injuries were expected. Some players could be rested, as this is the second leg of a back-to-back and Boston’s third game in four days.

If the Celtics are at full strength, they’re expected to rely heavily on Jayson Tatum and Derrick White alongside George. Tatum is averaging 26.5 points, 6.0 rebounds, and 7.4 assists per game this season, while White is putting up 12.2 points, 3.1 rebounds, 5.1 assists, and 1.3 steals per appearance.

Toronto Raptors Team News

The Raptors remain without Leonard, who’s dealing with left knee inflammation, and Barnes, who has a groin injury. Ja’Kobe Walter and Jamison Battle are expected to replace them in the starting lineup. Losing two of Toronto’s most important players on both ends of the floor is a significant blow.

Immanuel Quickley (hamstring), Trayce Jackson-Davis (illness), and Collin Murray-Boyles (illness) are questionable. If Quickley is ruled out, Jamal Shead would likely start at point guard, leaving Toronto shorthanded once again.

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors: Where to Watch (Canada)

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