England vs Croatia Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds (Nov 12)
Calendar icon Updated 10 Nov 09:19

England vs Croatia Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds (Nov 12)

Giorgi Natsvlishvili
Moneyline PickEngland to Win (-417)
Total GoalsOver 2.5 Goals (-205)
ComboEngland to Win + Harry Kane to Score (-139)
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England vs Croatia Main Match Info

England vs Croatia Moneyline Prediction

England has recorded three victories and one defeat in its four Nations League matches. The Three Lions bounced back from a 3-2 opening defeat to Spain by beating Czechia 2-0, Croatia 7-0, and Czechia again 3-0.

Croatia’s campaign has been much tougher. Slaven Bilić’s side has recorded one victory and three defeats, including consecutive losses to Spain and England.

The difference in defensive records is particularly striking. The Three Lions have conceded just three goals in four group matches, while Croatia has allowed 14, averaging 3.5 per game.

England’s attacking movement repeatedly exposed Croatia’s defensive positioning, particularly when the Vatreni struggled to deal with transitions in the previous meeting. However, Croatia has experienced players capable of producing a more disciplined performance at Wembley.

England’s superior recent form, attacking quality, and emphatic head-to-head victory make the hosts the preferred selection.

England vs Croatia Total Goals Prediction

England has scored 14 goals across four Nations League fixtures, averaging 3.50 per game. The team has conceded three, giving its matches a combined average of 4.25 goals per game.

Croatia has scored four goals and allowed 14, producing a combined average of 4.5 goals.

Recent results strongly support the selection. Three of England’s four group matches have gone over 2.5 goals.

All four of Croatia’s Nations League encounters have produced at least three goals. Its defeats to Spain finished 4-1 and 2-1, while the previous meeting with England featured seven goals.

England vs Croatia Combo

England’s three consecutive Nations League victories provide a strong case for a home win. The Three Lions have scored 12 goals without conceding during that run, including seven against Croatia.

Harry Kane’s recent international performances make him an appealing goalscorer pick. The England captain scored twice in the 7-0 victory in Rijeka, opening the scoring after eight minutes before adding another in the 53rd.

Kane’s movement inside the penalty area could cause Croatia problems again. His ability to combine with Jude Bellingham and Anthony Gordon also gives England several ways to create chances.

Croatia’s leaky defence suggests Kane should have opportunities if the Three Lions maintain their attacking intensity. The 2026 Ballon d’Or winner has also scored 10 goals for Bayern this season across all competitions.

Both legs follow one script: England dominates again at home, with Kane converting the chances its creative players carve out.

England vs Croatia Team News

England Team News

Out: Bukayo Saka (leg), Marc Guehi (hip), Ezri Konsa (undisclosed).

Thomas Tuchel has selected a 25-man squad for the November fixtures against Croatia and Spain. Harry Kane is included and could become England’s most-capped men’s player after equalling Peter Shilton’s record of 125 appearances.

Declan Rice’s return strengthens the Three Lions’ midfield options, while Jude Bellingham and Morgan Rogers provide attacking creativity. Both scored against Croatia.

Bukayo Saka’s absence reduces the team’s attacking options. Marc Guehi suffered a hip injury against Nottingham and has been replaced by Dan Burn.

England plays Spain in Madrid three days later, so Tuchel may manage minutes.

Croatia Team News

Out: Andrej Kramarić (leg), Marin Pongračić (leg), Luka Sučić (illness).

Luka Modrić remains Croatia’s captain, while Mateo Kovačić offers additional midfield experience. Their ability to control possession will be important after England dominated the previous meeting.

The visitors must also improve their attacking efficiency after failing to score against the Three Lions in October. Their four group-stage goals underline the difficulty of competing with the strongest teams in Group 3.

The injury list is noteworthy. Andrej Kramarić is one of Croatia’s main attacking threats, having scored 36 goals for the national team. Marin Pongračić is a regular starter at centre-back.

The Vatreni played their last match at home against Spain on October 6, meaning they have had more than a month to prepare for this fixture.

England vs Croatia: Where to Watch (Canada)

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