Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction: Moneyline, Prop & Total Goals (Oct 16)
Calendar icon Published 16 Oct 11:31

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction: Moneyline, Prop & Total Goals (Oct 16)

Juan Pablo Aravena Juan Pablo Aravena
Moneyline PickColorado Avalanche (-200)
Player PropNathan MacKinnon Over 1.5 Points (-124)
Total GoalsOver 6.5 Goals (+106)
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Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche Main Game Info

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche Moneyline Prediction

The Avalanche are coming off a 2-3 overtime loss to the Dallas Stars on Wednesday, but they’re still off to a strong start with a 4-2-1 record. Their three losses have come over their last five games, but the Avs still have an excellent attack that can dismantle most defences in the league. Colorado ranks 14th on the power play (20%).

The Penguins can score too, but that hasn’t been enough lately. They have gone 1-3-1 in their last five contests and have allowed five or more goals twice in that stretch. Undoubtedly trending in the wrong direction, they might not have what it takes to slow down Colorado’s attack.

The goaltending matchup is projected to be Arturs Silovs (2.72 GAA, .885 save percentage) against Mackenzie Blackwood (3.04 GAA, .879 save percentage). The Penguins have a slight edge, but it’s not enough to suggest the goaltending duel will swing things in Pittsburgh’s favour, especially when factoring in Colorado’s scoring prowess.

The Avalanche have the better record, are playing at home, and remain the more dangerous team offensively. They are the odds-on favourites and should back that up with a win.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche Player Prop

Nathan MacKinnon has enjoyed an excellent start to the season, notching 12 points (five goals, seven assists) and clearing this line five times in seven games, and the matchup favours another.

The Penguins rank 19th in expected goals against (14.12), so Colorado’s top line should get its chances. MacKinnon is the heart of the Avalanche’s offence, playing on the top line and the first power-play unit while averaging 20:36 TOI per game.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche Total Goals Prediction

This will be a clash between two top-10 offences this season. With Colorado scoring 4.43 goals per game and Pittsburgh netting 3.43, if both sides stay within their season averages, the over should hit relatively easily.

Neither defence stands out: both teams allow 3.00 goals per game, tied for 15th, supporting the idea of a high-scoring encounter. On that note, two of the Avalanche’s last four games and two of the Penguins’ last four have cleared the 6.5-goal line, as have four of their last five head-to-head meetings.

Neither projected starter has been sharp, and Pittsburgh has a back-to-back looming, so expect an open game with chances at both ends.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche Team News

Pittsburgh Penguins Team News

The Penguins are relatively healthy, with just three players on injured reserve. The list includes defencemen Trevor van Riemsdyk (lower body) and Ryan Graves (knee), as well as right winger Justin Brazeau (lower body).

Neither Graves nor van Riemsdyk plays a big role on the blue line, but losing Brazeau is significant – he posted 17 goals and 34 points in 2025-26. With Brazeau sidelined, Nicholas Robertson and Elmer Soderblom are operating as bottom-six right wingers.

The Penguins are in the midst of a four-game road trip that began with a 5-3 loss to Chicago on Tuesday, and they’re 1-2-1 on the road this season, with a game in Vegas on Saturday.

Colorado Avalanche Team News

The Avalanche are without several bottom-six forwards, including Nicolas Roy (lower body), Logan O’Connor (lower body), and Zachary L’Heureux (upper body). Those absences mean Colorado will have to dress seven defencemen to fill out its roster, and Noah Juulsen is a strong candidate to play as a forward.

Fortunately for the Avs, none of their star forwards such as MacKinnon, Martin Necas (seven points in seven games), Nazem Kadri (five assists), and Artturi Lehkonen (four goals, two assists) are missing, and the same goes for top defenceman Cale Makar (seven points in six games).

This clash marks the end of a brief two-game homestand for Colorado, with three of its next four outings coming on the road after Friday.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche: Where to Watch (Canada)

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