Moneyline PickManchester City to Win (-205)
Player PropErling Haaland to Score (-132)
Same Game ParlayManchester City to Win + Erling Haaland to Score + Over 2.5 Goals (+120)
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Manchester City vs AFC Bournemouth Main Match Info

Manchester City vs AFC Bournemouth Moneyline Prediction

Manchester City finished second in 2025/26 with 78 points, scoring a league-high 77 goals from 70.96 xG. Bournemouth were competitive in sixth with 57 points, but they conceded 54 from 55.67 xGA.

City’s historical home record against Bournemouth is overwhelming. They have won all 10 home league meetings.

City enter the game after a 3-0 Community Shield defeat to Arsenal, but that result increases the pressure for an immediate response. Given their superior H2H advantage, we anticipate Enzo Maresca’s team to claim a comfortable victory.

Manchester City vs AFC Bournemouth Player Prop

Erling Haaland remains the primary goalscorer for City. He scored 27 Premier League goals from 25.20 xG. He also generated 126 shots, 59 shots on target and 209 touches inside the opposition penalty area.

Bournemouth were far from an elite defensive side last season. Their high line can leave space in behind when bypassed under pressure — dangerous against a striker like Haaland, whose biggest strength is attacking those channels.

City are likely to control possession at the Etihad. Bournemouth may initially press and compete aggressively, but if City break that first line, Haaland will attack the spaces between and behind their centre-backs.

Manchester City vs AFC Bournemouth Same Game Parlay

Manchester City to Win: City have dominated the H2H at Etihad, winning the previous 10 matches. Approaching the new season, Enzo Maresca’s men are clear favourites to win.

Erling Haaland to Score: Haaland arrives as the main threat, after scoring 27 goals last season. His motivation will be huge after losing to Arsenal, so the Norwegian is expected to score.

Over 2.5 Goals: The matchup has featured goals regularly. Four out of the last five games ended with three or more goals. With City expected to be aggressive at home, a high-scoring affair is likely.

Manchester City vs AFC Bournemouth Team news

Manchester City Team News 

City lost the Community Shield final 3-0 against Arsenal. They conceded after only 23 seconds, again in the 28th minute and immediately after half-time in the 48th. Arsenal repeatedly found gaps behind or between City’s midfield and defensive lines and generated 2.89 xG.

Erling Haaland remains the focal point of City’s attack heading into the new season. New £116m signing Elliot Anderson is particularly important now because Maresca needs him to help replace Rodri’s ball progression and defensive coverage. Tijjani Reijnders has also left the club for Al-Qadsiah.

Manchester City’s biggest confirmed absence for this match against Bournemouth is Jérémy Doku. Matheus Nunes is another player to monitor after being withdrawn from the Community Shield squad.

AFC Bournemouth Team News

Before the final friendly, Bournemouth had scored 21 goals in four matches, including wins of 4-1 over St Pauli, 5-2 over Augsburg and 10-1 over Genoa, before drawing 2-2 at Real Betis. In the last match, they lost 2-1 to Mainz despite Evanilson scoring, but Bournemouth repeatedly looked vulnerable defensively.

Evanilson arrives in encouraging form after contributing three goals and three assists across Bournemouth’s final pre-season matches. Marcus Tavernier also produced two goals and two assists. Justin Kluivert scored three pre-season goals. He was sidelined last season with an injury.

Eli Junior Kroupi, Amine Adli and Julian Araujo are out with injuries. Ryan Christie is suspended following his red card against Fulham in May.

Manchester City vs AFC Bournemouth: Where to Watch (Canada) 

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