| Moneyline Pick | Spain (-189) |
| Player Prop | Lamine Yamal to score anytime (+160) |
| Same Game Parlay | Both teams not to score + Under 3.5 goals + Uruguay to have more cards (+275) |
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Uruguay vs Spain Main Match Info
- Date and Time: Friday, June 26, 2026, 8 PM EDT
- Venue: Guadalajara Stadium
- Location: Guadalajara, Mexico
- Last H2H match: Spain 2-1 Uruguay (June 16, 2013, 2013 Confederations Cup)
Uruguay vs Spain Moneyline Prediction
- Moneyline Pick: Spain
- Odds: -189 (Tonybet)
Spain faced plenty of criticism (and fairly so) after their 0-0 draw against Cape Verde at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. However, they bounced back admirably with a 4-0 win over Saudi Arabia, scoring three times inside the opening 30 minutes.
They sit atop Group H and control their own destiny to retain first place, which would help them avoid facing Argentina in the Round of 32.
Uruguay find themselves in a very different position. Despite being heavy favourites in the previous two games, Marcelo Bielsa’s men failed to defeat Saudi Arabia after equalising late in the second half and also lost the lead in the second half against Cape Verde.
𝗥𝗘𝗧𝗥𝗔𝗧𝗢𝗦 de un entreno.
Tenéis a todos nuestros chicos en Insta 😜#VamosEspaña | #CopaMundialFIFA pic.twitter.com/voep1AbMiR
— Selección Española Masculina de Fútbol (@SEFutbol) June 23, 2026
Now, they need a win to guarantee progression, because otherwise they would need to rely on qualifying as one of the best third-place teams, potentially with only three points.
Spain are far from their peak, but they’re trending in the right direction and have welcomed back Lamine Yamal, a significant boost to their attack. Uruguay, meanwhile, are depleted defensively and have struggled to create chances against lower-ranked teams, so it’s hard to see them posing much of a threat against a Spanish side that has yet to concede a goal.
Uruguay vs Spain Player Prop
- Prop Bet: Lamine Yamal to score anytime
- Odds: +160 (Tonybet)
If Spain are to break down Uruguay’s defensive plan, they’ll need Yamal to be at his best on the right wing. The Barcelona star didn’t need to do too much to score against Saudi Arabia, but La Celeste’s defence is expected to be a tougher challenge.
Yamal needed just 10 minutes to find the net against Saudi Arabia, and with Spain expected to channel much of their attacking play through him, he should see plenty of opportunities in the final third.
Known for stepping up when it matters the most, Yamal should play a prominent role for La Roja as they aim to finish their group-stage campaign in first place of the Group H standings.
Uruguay vs Spain Same Game Parlay
- SGP: Both teams not to score + Under 3.5 goals + Uruguay to have more cards
- Odds: +275 (Tonybet)
Uruguay have struggled to find the back of the net, needing more than 80 minutes to score against Saudi Arabia and over 40 to break through against Cape Verde. Facing a Spanish defence that has yet to concede a goal at this tournament, it’s hard to see La Celeste finding much success in attack.
That aligns well with our expectation of under 3.5 total goals. Spain were held scoreless by Cape Verde and “only” scored four goals against Saudi Arabia.
They’re unlikely to go out and suddenly score more than four against what should be the strongest defensive line in this group.
Lastly, Uruguay are well-positioned to finish with more cards simply because Spain are expected to dominate possession. With La Celeste running around and pressing against a team that knows a thing or two about moving the ball, cards should start flowing pretty easily.
Uruguay vs Spain Team News
Uruguay Team News
Uruguay will be depleted at the back, with two of their best players, Ronald Araujo and Giorgian de Arrascaeta, sidelined through injury. José María Giménez suffered a setback in his recovery and isn’t expected to be fit, and the same goes for left-back Joaquín Piquerez.
As a result, Uruguay will be without 75% of their starters in defence and their top playmaker in a must-win match.
Spain Team News
Spain welcomed Yamal back to the starting lineup in the previous match against Saudi Arabia, and the FC Barcelona star is expected to start once again. The same can’t be said about Nico Williams, who’s widely expected to be available off the bench but is unlikely to start. As a result, either Alex Baena or Ferran Torres could replace the Athletic Club winger. The rest of the lineup should be unchanged.
Uruguay vs Spain: Where to Watch (Canada)
- Watch on TSN1, TSN4, TSN5, RDS
- Stream on TSN+, RDS App
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