| Moneyline Pick | Paraguay (+190) |
| Player Prop | Julio Enciso to score anytime (+359) |
| Same Game Parlay | Paraguay to win + Under 2.5 total goals + Over 6.5 total corners (+425) |
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Paraguay vs Australia Main Match Info
- Date and Time: Thursday, June 25, 2026, 10 PM EDT
- Venue: San Francisco Bay Area Stadium
- Location: Santa Clara, California, United States
- Last H2H match: Australia 1-0 Paraguay (October 9, 2010, International Friendly)
Paraguay vs Australia Moneyline Prediction
- Moneyline Pick: Paraguay
- Odds: +190 (Tonybet)
Paraguay and Australia have their backs against the wall, and the teams share a lot of similarities ahead of this final group-stage contest. Each has defeated Turkiye and lost to the United States, and both know a win here would secure them a place in the knockout stage, while a loss would leave them hanging as a third-placed side with just three points.
Paraguay had some interesting moments in their 1-0 win over Turkiye. They scored the lone goal within the opening five minutes and had to spend much of the match defending their lead. Australia also adopted a defensive approach in their 2-0 win over the Europeans, but when they had to push the lines forward against the USMNT, they looked clueless and unable to do so.
Defending won’t save either team here. However, when it comes to individual talent, Paraguay certainly have the edge even without the suspended Miguel Almirón. Meanwhile, Australia’s potential starting lineup remains uncertain, meaning there could be some odd changes just like in their first two games. Neither team have looked overly convincing, but La Albirroja are the more talented side, and that is enough to back them for the win.
Paraguay vs Australia Player Prop
- Prop Bet: Julio Enciso to score anytime
- Odds: +359 (Tonybet)
Enciso has yet to find the back of the net for Paraguay in the current World Cup campaign, but he’s assisted on both goals and should play a bigger role in the final third with Almirón sidelined. Enciso’s creativity will be crucial against a compact defensive block, and while his odds are longer than those of a striker like Antonio Sanabria, we’re backing the Strasbourg star to step up right when Paraguay will need him the most.
Paraguay vs Australia Same Game Parlay
- SGP: Paraguay to win + Under 2.5 total goals + Over 6.5 total corners
- Odds: +425 (Tonybet)
Even though Australia rank higher than Paraguay in the FIFA Rankings (27th vs 41st), La Albirroja have been in stronger form overall, with four wins in their last six matches (W4, L2) compared to the Socceroos’ three wins over the same stretch (W3, D1, L2). The margins are small, but this is exactly the type of tight-knit contest where individual talent can make all the difference.
Given that both Paraguay and Australia have struggled offensively – with xG of 0.80 and 1.52, respectively – this points toward another low-scoring game. Both teams are likely to sit in low blocks, trying to limit any mistakes that might doom them. With Australia potentially missing Matthew Leckie and Paraguay without Almirón, creativity will be at a premium for both sides.
Both squads still offer reliable aerial presence in attack and set-piece threat, so I expect both teams to cross the ball often, which might lead to several corners. Paraguay have generated just one corner kick across two games, but they’ll need to be more attacking here. As for Australia, they earned nine corners combined across their opening two fixtures.
Paraguay vs Australia Team News
Paraguay Team News
Paraguay will be without one of their best players, Almirón, after the Atlanta United playmaker was sent off in the 1-0 win over Turkiye. Expect Mauricio Magalhaes, who scored off the bench vs USA, to step in as his replacement. There’s also uncertainty up front, where either Antonio Sanabria or Isidro Pitta could start as the team’s nominal striker in Gustavo Alfaro’s 4-2-3-1 formation.
Se acerca el tercer partido ⏳
Paraguay sigue sumando trabajo y concentración en la previa de un nuevo desafío.
🔜 Este jueves, vamos por más ante Australia.
Detalles del entrenamiento: https://t.co/Psj5O14xtq#VamosParaguay pic.twitter.com/gZvgqz1X1S
— Selección Paraguaya (@Albirroja) June 23, 2026
Australia Team News
Australia have made unexpected changes to their starting lineup in the first two games of the tournament, but they’re likely to revert to some experienced players here. Mathew Ryan is expected to start between the posts, while Conor Metcalfe and Jackson Irvine are also strong candidates to return to the lineup. The lone fitness doubt is Leckie, who exited the last match with an apparent thigh injury.
— CommBank Socceroos (@Socceroos) June 23, 2026
Paraguay vs Australia: Where to Watch (Canada)
- Watch on TSN2, RDS 2
- Stream on TSN+, RDS App
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