| Moneyline Pick | Manchester City to Win (-141) |
| Player Prop | Erling Haaland to Score (-125) |
| Same Game Parlay | Manchester City to Win + Erling Haaland to Score + Under 3.5 Goals (+260) |
| Check Live Odds | |
Chelsea vs Manchester City Main Match Info
- Date and Time: Saturday, May 16, 2026, 9:00 AM EDT
- Venue: Wembley
- Location: London, England
- Last H2H match: Chelsea 0-3 Manchester City (2025/26 Premier League, April 2026)
Chelsea vs Manchester City Moneyline Prediction
- Moneyline Pick: Manchester City to Win
- Odds: -141 (Tonybet)
Pep Guardiola’s team are still competing on multiple fronts and arrive at Wembley with momentum after a 3-0 win over Crystal Palace.
The tactical matchup also strongly favours City. In the recent league meeting at Stamford Bridge, they completely controlled Chelsea through possession and territorial dominance, finishing with 62.7% possession, 18 shots, an xG of 2.29, and 12 corners.
Non-stop 💪
🤝 @eAndGroup pic.twitter.com/Jng23JGD7j
— Manchester City (@ManCity) May 14, 2026
The recent head-to-head record is also heavily tilted towards Man City. They’ve won seven and drawn three of the last 10 meetings between the sides.
Chelsea are in poor form, having lost eight of their last 11 outings across all competitions. Given the gap in quality, City are heavy favourites to lift another trophy.
Chelsea vs Manchester City Player Prop
- Prop Bet: Erling Haaland to Score
- Odds: -125 (Tonybet)
Erling Haaland leads the Premier League Golden Boot race with 26 goals. His underlying numbers remain elite: 0.78 xG per 90 minutes, 124 shots, 58 shots on target, and 202 touches in the box.
Chelsea are winless in their last 13 encounters with Manchester City. Haaland, meanwhile, rarely needs many opportunities to make an impact. With the Cityzens controlling territory, he should receive at least one high-quality chance through a cut-back, penalty-box mismatch, or transition run.
City rested Haaland against Crystal Palace and still produced enough attacking quality to win comfortably. Expect them to control the game and create the best central chances for their star forward.
Chelsea vs Manchester City Same Game Parlay
- SGP: Manchester City to Win + Erling Haaland to Score + Under 3.5 Goals
- Odds: +260 (Tonybet)
Manchester City to Win: The Cityzens have dominated this fixture and haven’t lost to Chelsea since 2021. The Blues’ run of eight defeats in their last 11 matches further strengthens the case for a City victory.
Erling Haaland to Score: Haaland remains the team’s primary scorer with 26 goals in the Premier League. Against a defensively struggling Chelsea side, the Norwegian looks well positioned to find the net.
Under 3.5 Goals: Three of the last four meetings between the clubs have produced three or fewer goals. In cup finals specifically, cautious game plans tend to suppress scoring – each of the last six FA Cup finals has ended under 3.5 goals.
Chelsea vs Manchester City Team News
Chelsea Team News
Chelsea’s recent form remains a concern. They earned a 1-1 draw against Liverpool after suffering six straight league defeats, but that game produced only 14 total shots, with Liverpool generating just 0.51 xG. The Blues looked more compact, though their attack once again struggled to create clear-cut chances.
Enzo Fernandez has been Chelsea’s standout performer in recent weeks. He scored the semi-final winner against Leeds before finding the net again at Anfield.
Up next: The FA Cup final! 🏆 pic.twitter.com/mPTkPJAsqE
— Chelsea FC (@ChelseaFC) May 12, 2026
Pedro Neto has tallied four goals in the FA Cup, while Joao Pedro has 15 goals in the Premier League.
Estevao Willian, Jamie Gittens, and Jesse Derry are out. Benoit Badiashile is a major doubt due to illness. Robert Sanchez, Pedro Neto, and Alejandro Garnacho are questionable.
Manchester City Team News
The biggest storyline surrounding Man City over the past week has been Pep Guardiola’s squad management. They rotated heavily in the 3-0 win over Crystal Palace but still controlled the match, scoring twice in the first half and producing 1.66 xG.
Phil Foden registered two assists and created five chances in that game, while both Omar Marmoush and Savinho found the back of the net.
In control 😮💨 pic.twitter.com/mLmCjNBFpk
— Manchester City (@ManCity) May 14, 2026
While Erling Haaland leads the team with 26 goals, Jeremy Doku has scored four goals in his last four appearances.
Rodri is expected to return from a groin issue. Ruben Dias is back after recovering from a thigh injury. Josko Gvardiol has also returned to the squad.
Chelsea vs Manchester City: Where to Watch (Canada)
- DAZN
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