Moneyline PickNottingham to Win (+154)
Player PropIgor Jesus to Score (+245)
Same Game ParlayNottingham to Win + Igor Jesus to Score + Under 2.5 Goals
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Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa Main Match Info

Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa Moneyline Prediction

Nottingham Forest enter the first leg at home in their best form of the season. They’re unbeaten in the last eight matches, just defeated Sunderland 0-5 away, and have scored nine goals across the previous two games.

Relegation pressure has eased on the hosts, as they sit eight points clear of the drop zone. This should give them added confidence heading into the clash.

Aston Villa, meanwhile, lost to Fulham 1-0 in the Premier League. Head-to-head history also offers some encouragement for Forest, who have beaten the Villans in two of the last four home meetings. As a result, we lean toward a home victory.

Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa Player Prop

Igor Jesus is Nottingham’s top scorer in this competition, with seven goals in 11 matches. His underlying numbers support the pick, as he averages 2.68 shots per 90 minutes and has recorded 60 shots in 33 Premier League games, with 16 on target.

Forest’s attack is built around quick penalty-area entries, and Igor Jesus benefits when Morgan Gibbs-White and the wide players deliver early balls.

With Chris Wood drawing centre-backs and the Tricky Trees motivated by a rare semifinal at the City Ground, the Brazilian should find opportunities to score.

Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa Same Game Parlay

Nottingham to Win: Nottingham have peaked in form, while Aston Villa are dealing with fatigue. After a dominant 5-0 win over Sunderland, the hosts are well positioned to follow up with another victory.

Igor Jesus to Score: The Brazilian forward has scored in two consecutive appearances. He leads Nottingham with seven goals and is likely to add to his tally.

Under 2.5 Goals: With the stakes high, Villa are likely to approach the match cautiously, while the Tricky Trees may also avoid unnecessary risks, making under 2.5 goals a solid choice.

Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa Team News

Nottingham Forest Team News 

Forest are now safe from relegation following the Sunderland win, which changes the mood heading into this semifinal.

Defensive reliability remains a concern. The Tricky Trees conceded in the 4-1 win over Burnley and allowed 48.2 xGA this season, meaning Villa should still find opportunities if Forest’s midfield line opens up too early.

Morgan Gibbs-White (13 goals) scored a hat-trick in the 4-1 win over Burnley and followed up with another goal in the win at Sunderland. Igor Jesus also found the net in that match. Chris Wood’s return is a massive boost, given his strength in aerial duels.

Callum Hudson-Odoi is out for the rest of the season following surgery, while Murillo is a doubt after missing the Sunderland game.

Aston Villa Team News

Fatigue has started to show for Villa due to their demanding schedule. In the last round, they suffered a 1-0 defeat to Fulham, registering just one shot on target and 0.93 xG.

They struggled to control second phases after losing possession, which could prove problematic against an in-form Nottingham side.

Ollie Watkins (11 goals) continues to lead the line and remains Villa’s most consistent scorer, with five goals in his last five matches. Morgan Rogers has recorded nine goals and five assists. In midfield, Douglas Luiz provides balance, while also posing a threat from set pieces.

Aston Villa head into this fixture with two confirmed absences, as Alysson and Boubacar Kamara will both miss the first leg.

Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa: Where to Watch (Canada) 

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