Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction: Moneyline, Props & SGP (Apr 24)
Calendar icon Updated 22 Apr 11:24

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction: Moneyline, Props & SGP (Apr 24)

Juan Pablo Aravena Juan Pablo Aravena
Moneyline PickTampa Bay Lightning
Player PropNikita Kucherov over 3.5 shots on goal
Same Game ParlayOver 4.5 goals + Nikita Kucherov over 0.5 points + Nick Suzuki over 0.5 points
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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens Main Match Info

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens Moneyline Prediction

The Lightning suffered a shocking 4-3 defeat in the series opener against the Canadiens. Although they needed overtime to get the job done in Game 2, the team now head to Montreal with the series tied 1-1.

Tampa Bay need to steal at least one game on the road, however, otherwise they would lose the home-ice advantage.

The Canadiens haven’t been particularly impressive at home, which could open the door for the Lightning to secure an important victory.

Montreal posted the seventh-best home record in the Eastern Conference during the regular season and won just 24 games at Centre Bell (L15, OT2) while recording a modest +10 goal differential. By most standards, those numbers were fairly average.

For comparison, the Lightning were the second-best away team in the East during the 2025-26 regular season with 24 wins from 41 contests (L12, OT5). They also averaged 3.73 goals per game and posted an impressive +37 goal differential on the road. Their defensive record away from home ranked second in the Eastern Conference.

Ultimately, the Canadiens might not have much of an edge entering this matchup, while the Lightning should be motivated after their dramatic overtime victory in Game 2. All signs point to another tight affair, much like the previous two meetings. Still, the Bolts should ride the momentum to secure another victory and recover home-ice advantage in the process.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens Player Prop

Nikita Kucherov opened his playoff tally in Game 2. Even if he doesn’t find the net in the upcoming clash, the star winger is still expected to play a major offensive role for Tampa Bay.

The Lightning star has recorded a team-high 10 shots on goal in the first two games of the series, so it wouldn’t be surprising if he surpasses the mark of over 3.5 shots.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens Same Game Parlay

The first two clashes of the series have delivered plenty of entertainment, and Game 3 should also be an open contest with plenty of goals.

Each of the previous two encounters has produced at least five goals, including overtime, and nothing suggests that won’t be the case here. That mark was hit in three of the four head-to-head regular-season meetings between these sides.

We’re pairing the over line with two elite scoring threats leaving their marks on the scoresheet, as both Kucherov and Suzuki should make an impact.

After all, they were among the eight players in the league to record at least 100 points during the regular season.

Suzuki has yet to find the back of the net in the series, but he’s tied for the team lead with three points – the same total as Cole Caufield and Juraj Slafkovský. As for Kucherov, he’s racked up one goal and two assists in the series, though Jake Guentzel and Brandon Hagel lead the Bolts in scoring during this playoff run with four points each.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens Team News

Tampa Bay Lightning Team News

The Lightning will monitor the status of Charle-Edouard D’Astous, who’s considered a game-time call for Friday’s contest due to an undisclosed injury. Meanwhile, Victor Hedman (personal) and Pontus Holmberg (upper body) are out and won’t return unless the team advance to the next round of the 2026 Stanley Cup Playoffs.

Montreal Canadiens Team News

The Habs will wait until the very last minute to see whether defenceman Noah Dobson, who’s dealing with an upper-body injury, will be available for this contest. As for Patrik Laine, he remains sidelined due to an abdominal injury and won’t be available until the second round of the playoffs – even in the best-case scenario.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens: Where to Watch (Canada)

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