| Moneyline Pick | Houston Rockets |
| Player Prop | Alperen Şengün Over 15.5 Points |
| Same Game Parlay (Bet Builder) | Rockets +3.5 Spread + Alperen Şengün 8+ Rebounds + Under 224.5 Total Points |
| Check Live Odds | |
Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics Main Match Info
- Date and Time: Wednesday, February 4, 2026, 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Toyota Center
- Location: Houston, USA
- Last H2H match: Celtics vs Rockets 101-128 (Nov 2, 2025, 2025-26 NBA regular season)
Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics Moneyline Prediction
- Moneyline Pick: Houston Rockets
Jayson Tatum, Boston’s superstar forward, is currently out due to a torn Achilles, which has increased the scoring responsibility for Jaylen Brown and Derrick White.
Brown is having an All-Star season, but Houston’s defence is specifically meant to counter what Boston do best. The Rockets rank fourth in the league in points allowed per game (110) and specialise in taking away the perimeter.
The WWWin streak continues 👍 pic.twitter.com/B4GCPwI5IB
— Houston Rockets (@HoustonRockets) February 3, 2026
Meanwhile, Houston, led by Ime Udoka, who knows the Celtics’ system intimately, are expected to present several strategies against Jaylen Brown to frustrate him.
Rockets also hold a great home-court advantage. This season, they’ve been nearly invincible at the Toyota Centre, with a winning percentage of .810. There is a clear psychological advantage when they play in front of the Houston crowd, where their net rating jumps compared to their road performances.
Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics Player Prop
- Prop Bet: Alperen Şengün Over 15.5 Points
One of the biggest positional weaknesses for the Celtics this season has been their interior defence against skilled, passing big men. Without a traditional, heavy-set rim protector to bang with Şengün for 35 minutes, Boston often struggle against his post-up game. Şengün is averaging 21.4 points per game, and in his most recent outing against the Celtics, he posted 16 points.
Boston are on the second night of a back-to-back. Their interior rotation (including Al Horford and Neemias Queta) is likely to be a bit sluggish.
Dominant double-double from Alpi last night 😤 pic.twitter.com/rRvNbRjFHp
— Houston Rockets (@HoustonRockets) February 3, 2026
When legs get tired, the first thing to go is defensive positioning in the paint, leading to easy buckets or trips to the free-throw line, where Şengün has been aggressive lately.
Furthermore, with Kevin Durant currently managing an ankle injury and being questionable for tonight, the Rockets’ offence will run almost exclusively through Şengün.
Even if KD plays, he’ll likely be used more as a spacer, leaving the heavy lifting in the pick-and-roll to Alperen.
Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics Same Game Parlay
- SGP: Rockets +3.5 Spread + Alperen Şengün 8+ Rebounds + Under 224.5 Total Points
Rockets +3.5 Spread. Even if the Celtics find a way to keep it close with their championship DNA, the Rockets are 17-4 at home for a reason. Taking the +3.5 spread gives us a safety net in case the game comes down to a final possession.
Alperen Şengün 8+ Rebounds. If Houston are going to cover the spread and control the game, they’ll need to win the battle on the boards. Boston sit in 11th place in rebounding, meaning there will be plenty of boards for Şengün to win.
Under 224.5 Total Points: The Celtics’ pace is the slowest in the league (30th). Both teams are top-10 in defence. On a back-to-back for Boston, expect them to try and slow the game down even further to save energy, leading to a low-scoring affair that keeps us under this total.
Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics Team News
Houston Rockets Team News
The big story in Houston is the health of Kevin Durant. He missed the last game against the Indiana Pacers due to ankle discomfort.
Coach Ime Udoka has been cautious with the 37-year-old’s workload. If he’s out, look for Dorian Finney-Smith and Tari Eason to see increased minutes. Fred VanVleet remains out for the season (ACL), but rookie Reed Sheppard has stepped up brilliantly, providing elite three-point shooting (38.0%) and secondary playmaking.
The Rockets are in excellent shape physically after a day of rest at home. They win games by overwhelming their opponents defensively and allowing Şengün and Amen Thompson to create opportunities in transition.
Boston Celtics Team News
Boston are dealing with the crucial absence of Jayson Tatum (Achilles), who is out for the long haul.
This has forced Jaylen Brown into a high-usage role where he’s averaging 29.5 points per game.
Brown is elite, but the Celtics’ depth is being tested. Derrick White has been struggling with his shot recently, failing to reach 20 points in 10 straight games.
Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics: Where to Watch (Canada)
- TV Channel: Sportsnet One
- Stream: NBA League Pass
Disclaimer: The content provided on this page, including all predictions, odds, and related information, is for entertainment and informational purposes only. While we strive to ensure accuracy and timeliness, we do not guarantee the correctness or reliability of any predictions, data, or information presented here.
Responsible Betting: Betting should be fun and enjoyable, not a solution to financial problems. Always gamble within your means. The outcomes of sporting events are unpredictable, and there is always a risk of losing your stake. Only bet with money you can afford to lose. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, seek help from a professional organization. For support, visit https://canadasafetycouncil.org/gambling-addiction/
