| Moneyline Pick | Man City to Win (-129) |
| Player Prop | Rayan Cherki to Score (+340) |
| Same Game Parlay | Man City to Win + Rayan Cherki to Score + BTTS (+475) |
| Check Live Odds | |
Manchester City vs Newcastle Main Match Info
- Date and Time: Wednesday, February 4, 2026, 03:00 AM EST
- Venue: Etihad Stadium
- Location: Manchester, England
- Last H2H match: Newcastle 0-2 Manchester City (2025/26 EFL Cup, January 2026)
Manchester City vs Newcastle Moneyline Prediction
- Moneyline Pick: Man City to Win
- Odds: -129 (Tonybet)
Despite a recent slip against Tottenham (2-2), Man City remain firm favourites. They hold a comfortable 2-0 aggregate advantage from the first leg and will look to advance without too much trouble.
Tactically, Pep Guardiola’s team will aim to build through possession and pin Newcastle back. The Magpies, on the other hand, have often conceded multiple chances on the break and under sustained pressure.
Since 2014, Man City have won 11 consecutive games at the Etihad against Newcastle. Guardiola’s men are well placed to claim another victory.
Manchester City vs Newcastle Player Prop
- Prop Bet: Rayan Cherki to Score
- Odds: +340 (Tonybet)
Rayan Cherki has already scored in the first leg and opened the scoring away at Tottenham in the Premier League. He also found the net against Galatasaray in the Champions League.
Newcastle’s main issue is the game state. They’re 2-0 down on aggregate, so they can’t afford to sit in a low block. When the Magpies push numbers forward, the half-spaces on either side of their midfield open up – exactly where Cherki likes to receive, turn, and attack the box.
Cherki is averaging around 2.37 shots per 90 in league action this season. He’s recorded 27 shots, seven on target, and roughly 2.0 xG in his minutes so far. Given the game’s script, he should be able to score at least once.
Manchester City vs Newcastle Same Game Parlay
- SGP: Man City to Win + Rayan Cherki to Score + BTTS
- Odds: +475 (Tonybet)
Man City to Win: Man City hold a comfortable advantage heading into the second leg. Newcastle have lost 11 consecutive matches at the Etihad, and another home win for the Cityzens looks likely.
Rayan Cherki to Score: Cherki arrives in hot form, having found the net in back-to-back games. He also regularly shoots outside the box, and with City dominating, he’s bound to have a lot of scoring opportunities.
BTTS: Manchester City’s defence this season has been far from reliable. The cracks were evident against Tottenham, where they conceded twice. Newcastle should be capable of grabbing a goal in response.
Manchester City vs Newcastle Team News
Manchester City Team News
Man City’s game-state management has wobbled. Against Tottenham (2-2), the team produced 2.00 xG to Spurs’ 0.98 xG, kept 61% possession, and still managed to drop a 2-0 lead. In the 2-0 Champions League win over Galatasaray, the Cityzens were dominant and effectively converted their chances.
The main concern lies in what unfolded at Spurs. When City lose duels after the interval or fail to slow the game, they concede “messy” goals that don’t match the control they previously established.
On a positive note, Antoine Semenyo has hit the ground running since joining the club. The Ghanaian winger has already netted four goals in five matches.
City will be without Rúben Dias, Joško Gvardiol, John Stones, Mateo Kovačić, and Savinho. Jeremy Doku is also out with a calf injury.
Newcastle Team News
Newcastle’s recent away loss to Liverpool exposed transition vulnerabilities and a lack of control after conceding. That result dropped them to 10th in the Premier League and highlighted inconsistency in their defence. They concede at a rate of 1.38 goals per game, with almost twice as many goals allowed in the second half (0.92 vs 0.46 in the first half).
Brazilian Bruno Guimarães remains the squad’s engine. He’s netted eight goals and delivered three assists. German Nick Woltemade comes next with seven goals.
In the second leg, Newcastle will be without Joelinton, Emil Krafth, Valentino Livramento, and Fabian Schär. Bruno Guimarães is doubtful.
Manchester City vs Newcastle: Where to Watch (Canada)
- DAZN
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