Moneyline PickBrighton to Win (-112)
Player PropDanny Welbeck to Score (+125)
Same Game ParlayBrighton to Win + Danny Welbeck to Score + Over 2.5 Goals (+260)
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Brighton vs Bournemouth Main Match Info

Brighton vs Bournemouth Moneyline Prediction

Brighton sit three points clear of Bournemouth in the Premier League table, having conceded 28 goals compared to the visitors’ 40. The Seagulls’ xG of roughly 32.7 versus an xGA of about 30.0 shows they’re creating slightly higher-quality chances.

On their own turf, Brighton have been stronger, winning half their home encounters. They also beat Bournemouth earlier this season. 

Tactically, the Seagulls’ structured build-up and control make them well-suited to exploit the Cherries’ occasional mid-block vulnerabilities. With Bournemouth fatigued from recent cup games, the hosts should be able to claim a narrow victory in this fixture. 

Brighton vs Bournemouth Player Prop

Danny Welbeck has netted eight league goals, and his scoring profile is strong (xG 7.23; non-pen xG 4.87). He comes into the game in form, having scored the second goal against Man United.

This matchup boosts him because Bournemouth’s defending has been far looser than Brighton’s this season. Welbeck thrives when the box gets messy, and he gets near-post runs, second balls, and quick cutbacks.

The Seagulls at home should pin Bournemouth back for long spells, feeding Welbeck in the six-yard area. With 28 shots, 12 on target, and 53 touches in the box across 1,118 minutes, he’s a strong candidate to appear on the scoresheet. 

Brighton vs Bournemouth Same Game Parlay

Brighton to Win: Brighton are unbeaten in the last four games, while Bournemouth have shown defensive vulnerabilities and struggle in the Premier League. The hosts have won five of the previous seven H2H meetings. 

Danny Welbeck to Score: Welbeck is Brighton’s top scorer with eight goals in the Premier League. He also netted against Manchester United in the FA Cup and is in great form.

Over 2.5 Goals: The last six H2Hs have produced at least three goals. Given that Bournemouth’s previous five encounters were also high-scoring, we anticipate another goal-fest. 

Brighton vs Bournemouth Team News

Brighton Team News 

The standout story last week was Brighton’s 2-1 FA Cup win at Manchester United, with Welbeck scoring once again. The team also demonstrated solid defensive performance and managed to advance to the next round.

Brighton receive a massive boost as Carlos Baleba returns from international duty. The Ivorian acts as the squad’s engine in midfield, and his presence should provide more consistency while opening opportunities in the front.

Injuries remain a concern. Adam Webster is still sidelined with a knee injury, Solly March remains out, Mats Wieffer is unavailable due to a toe problem, and Stefanos Tzimas is on long-term ACL recovery.

Bournemouth Team News

Antoine Semenyo’s departure to Manchester City has dominated the headlines for Bournemouth. The Ghanaian was a key goal threat, and his transfer will force tactical adjustments in attack.

Key performers like Eli Junior Kroupi, Evanilson, and Marcus Tavernier have been the team’s most dangerous attackers in 2025–26, combining for 15 goals. Under Andoni Iraola, Bournemouth have shown decent offensive involvement (34 goals). However, defensive lapses and a mid-block that gets stretched in behind have kept them inconsistent, particularly in away matches.

As for injuries, Tyler Adams, Ryan Christie, Ben Doak, and Justin Kluivert will all miss this game.

Brighton vs Bournemouth: Where to Watch (Canada) 

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