Over the past few years, tennis has experienced a subtle but steady shift at the year-end championships. 

On the men’s side, veteran champion Novak Djokovic reasserted himself by winning the 2023 ATP Finals for a record seventh time, defeating Jannik Sinner in straight sets (6–3, 6–3). In 2024, it was Sinner who broke through at the top tier, becoming the first Italian to claim the title by defeating Taylor Fritz 6–4, 6–4 in Turin, and doing so without dropping a set. 

Now, as we look ahead to the 2025 Finals, there’s plenty to watch. Will Sinner build on his breakthrough? Since Novak Djokovic withdrew from the tournament, Carlos Alcaraz emerges as the main challenger. 

Tournament Info

Prediction, Odds

Jannik Sinner looks primed to lift the ATP Finals trophy in Turin this year. The Italian has been the standout player of 2025, reclaiming the world No. 1 spot after winning the Paris Masters without dropping a set. His game is perfectly suited to the conditions: fast indoor hard courts that amplify his serve and flat baseline power. Moreover, his confidence has only grown since capturing last year’s ATP Finals title. 

Now older, calmer, and sharper under pressure, Sinner enters this edition not as a hopeful but as the man to beat. Carlos Alcaraz will likely be his biggest obstacle. The Spaniard has had a strong year himself, trading the No. 1 position with Sinner and collecting titles on multiple surfaces. Their budding rivalry has defined the ATP landscape over the past two seasons, and another showdown between the two young stars would be a fitting finale to 2025. 

If Alcaraz finds his rhythm early in Turin, he has the all-court game to push Sinner to his limits, but the Italian’s consistency on indoor courts may give him the edge once again.

Alexander Zverev, a two-time ATP Finals champion, is also a potential threat. He’s proven time and again that he thrives in this format, using his powerful serve and backhand to dominate on quicker surfaces. 

Still, all signs point toward Sinner. He’s peaking at the perfect moment, full of confidence, and playing in front of a passionate Italian crowd that’s bound to energize him even further. If he maintains his current level, it’s hard to see anyone standing in his way.

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